Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Oltenita vs Arsenal Malu Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2016/2017
Sat, Apr 8, 2017
3 - 0
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Oltenita host Arsenal Malu in the Liga 3 - Seria 2 2016/2017. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Arsenal Malu have shipped 3.59 goals a game lately, while CSM Oltenita have conceded 3.19 and scored 0.94. Past meetings favor CSM Oltenita slightly — 2-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 8, 2017, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.23 vs 2.56, favoring CSM Oltenita. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CSM Oltenita
15%
Draws
0%
Arsenal Malu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Oltenita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Oltenita carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans CSM Oltenita's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CSM Oltenita Clean Sheet 10%
Arsenal Malu Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Oltenita Arsenal Malu
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 4 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 25 27
Goals Scored 0.94 0.52
Goals Conceded 3.19 3.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2017 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Oltenita vs Arsenal Malu
3:0
Oct 8, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Arsenal Malu vs CSM Oltenita
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Oltenita 83 / 100
Arsenal Malu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Oltenita Arsenal Malu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Oltenita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal Malu conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Arsenal Malu lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: CSM Oltenita scored in 50% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Oltenita VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
4.13 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
100% Over 2.5 0%
100% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Oltenita

(Home)
17 Aug
CSM Oltenita
0 : 1
Inainte Modelu
28 May
CSM Oltenita
2 : 3
Inainte Modelu
21 May
CSM Fetesti
1 : 1
CSM Oltenita
14 May
CSM Oltenita
1 : 3
Voluntari 2
07 May
Recolta Gheorghe Doja
3 : 1
CSM Oltenita
Page 1 of 7

Arsenal Malu

(Away)
26 May
Arsenal Malu
0 : 3
Petrolistul Boldesti
20 May
Viitorul Domnesti
3 : 0
Arsenal Malu
13 May
Arsenal Malu
0 : 3
Din. Bucuresti 2
06 May
Dobrogea Tulcea
3 : 0
Arsenal Malu
29 Apr
Arsenal Malu
0 : 3
Inainte Modelu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metaloglobus Bucharest 26 19 3 4 50:27 60
2 Viitorul Domnesti 26 16 1 9 50:28 49
3 Tunari 26 13 7 6 39:28 46
4 Farul Constanta 2 26 13 5 8 52:33 44
5 Unirea Slobozia 26 12 5 9 49:36 41
6 Popesti Leordeni 26 11 6 9 40:37 39
7 Dobrogea Tulcea 26 12 5 9 52:48 39
8 Din. Bucuresti 2 26 10 8 8 42:32 38
9 CSM Oltenita 26 10 5 11 41:39 35
10 FC Astra 2 26 10 5 11 37:36 35
11 Axiopolis Cernavoda 26 9 7 10 49:47 34
12 Inainte Modelu 26 7 8 11 60:55 29
13 Petrolistul Boldesti 26 7 1 18 34:59 22
14 Arsenal Malu 26 0 0 26 10:100 0
Promotion - Liga 2 2017/2018 (Main)