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CSM Pascani vs Zagon Prediction & H2H Stats

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Liga 3 - Seria 1 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 1 2014/2015 game between CSM Pascani and Zagon finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Pascani.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
CSM Pascani
15%
Draws
0%
Zagon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Pascani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSM Pascani come out ahead of Zagon on wins alone.
  • CSM Pascani are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Liga 3 - Seria 1 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and CSM Pascani have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
CSM Pascani Clean Sheet 20%
Zagon Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Pascani Zagon
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 8 6
Draws 5 4
Losses 21 23
Goals Scored 1.21 0.7
Goals Conceded 2 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2016 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Zagon vs CSM Pascani
0:3
Oct 9, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Pascani vs Zagon
2:2
May 15, 2015 Liga 3 - Seria 1
CSM Pascani vs Zagon
3:0
Nov 7, 2014 Liga 3 - Seria 1
Zagon vs CSM Pascani
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Pascani 67 / 100
Zagon 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Pascani Zagon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Pascani Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zagon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 91% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.25 goals per match.

Zagon lost 5 of their last 5 games.

CSM Pascani scored in 65% of their last 34 games.

Scoring Trends

CSM Pascani VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Pascani

(Home)
02 Oct
Aerostar
5 : 0
CSM Pascani
26 Sept
CSM Pascani
1 : 1
Odorheiu
23 Sept
Bradul Putna
7 : 2
CSM Pascani
18 Sept
CSM Pascani
1 : 2
CSM Vaslui
12 Sept
VSK Gyergyo
4 : 2
CSM Pascani
Page 1 of 7

Zagon

(Away)
28 May
Zagon
0 : 3
Stiinta Miroslava
25 May
Sepsi
3 : 0
Zagon
21 May
Zagon
0 : 3
Aerostar
07 May
Atletico Vaslui
3 : 0
Zagon
30 Apr
Zagon
0 : 3
Inter Dorohoi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bucovina Pojorata 22 16 3 3 53:25 51
2 Stiinta Miroslava 22 16 1 5 43:19 49
3 Sepsi 22 14 4 4 39:14 46
4 Aerostar 22 12 2 8 35:31 38
5 Roman 22 11 2 9 41:29 35
6 Miercurea Ciuc 22 8 5 9 32:32 29
7 Bucovina Radauti 22 7 7 8 30:41 28
8 Ozana Targu Neamt 22 10 7 5 35:27 27
9 CSM Pascani 22 6 7 9 30:32 25
10 Sporting Liesti 22 4 3 15 25:49 15
11 Zagon 22 2 4 16 15:53 10
12 Ceahlaul II 22 2 3 17 20:46 9
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