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CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs Sporting Liesti Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026 game between CSM Ramnicu Sarat and Sporting Liesti finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sporting Liesti.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
15%
Draws
59%
Sporting Liesti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Liesti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Sporting Liesti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sporting Liesti a 59% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sporting Liesti here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.2%
CSM Ramnicu Sarat Clean Sheet 10%
Sporting Liesti Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Ramnicu Sarat Sporting Liesti
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 21
Draws 7 2
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 1.43 2.64
Goals Conceded 2.83 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 7, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs Sporting Liesti
2:4
Aug 30, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs CSM Ramnicu Sarat
3:2
Nov 16, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sporting Liesti vs CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1:0
Sep 13, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs Sporting Liesti
0:2
Nov 17, 2023 Liga 3 - Seria 2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat vs Sporting Liesti
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Ramnicu Sarat 10 / 100
Sporting Liesti 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Ramnicu Sarat Sporting Liesti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Liesti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSM Ramnicu Sarat scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Sporting Liesti let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

Solid form: CSM Ramnicu Sarat remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Ramnicu Sarat VS Sporting Liesti
0.75 Goals Scored 3
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Ramnicu Sarat

(Home)
02 Oct
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 5
Flacara Moreni
26 Sept
FC Pucioasa
3 : 0
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
23 Sept
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 6
AS Vointa Crevedia
18 Sept
Blejoi
0 : 2
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
11 Sept
CSM Ramnicu Sarat
1 : 1
Progresul Draganesti
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Liesti

(Away)
26 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 1
Otelul 2
23 Sept
Calarasi
3 : 2
Sporting Liesti
19 Sept
Sporting Liesti
5 : 4
Inainte Modelu
12 Sept
Agigea
2 : 0
Sporting Liesti
05 Sept
Sporting Liesti
6 : 0
Portul Constanta
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Liesti 22 18 1 3 64:26 55
2 Targu Secuiesc 22 15 4 3 57:24 49
3 Sepsi 2 22 13 3 6 55:31 42
4 Blejoi 22 11 5 6 54:26 38
5 Unirea Branistea 22 12 3 7 51:38 36
6 Paulesti 22 9 5 8 34:26 32
7 CSO Plopeni 22 9 4 9 34:32 31
8 Victoria Traian 22 10 1 11 45:51 31
9 Petrolul 2 22 8 0 14 40:41 24
10 Braila 22 5 2 15 29:68 17
11 CSM Ramnicu Sarat 22 4 2 16 33:72 14
12 Otelul 2 22 2 2 18 26:87 8
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)