Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Resita vs FC Bacau Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Mircea Chivu Stadium, Reșița
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Modan N.
37'
Sub
Juric M. In: Albu G.
Out: Juric M.
46'
Sub
Mitrica P. In: Petre P.
Out: Mitrica P.

AI Match Summary

CSM Resita in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CSM Resita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CSM Resita
20%
Draws
38%
FC Bacau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSM Resita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • FC Bacau average 1.79 goals a game right now, well clear of CSM Resita's 1.4.
  • Win probability leans FC Bacau's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CSM Resita Clean Sheet 12%
FC Bacau Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Resita FC Bacau
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 15
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.4 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs FC Bacau
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Resita vs FC Bacau
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Liga 2
FC Bacau vs CSM Resita
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Resita Compare

Top Goalscorer Modan N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

FC Bacau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Resita 22 / 100
FC Bacau 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Resita FC Bacau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Bacau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Resita's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

FC Bacau has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

CSM Resita has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 0.67 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CSM Resita VS FC Bacau
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Resita

(Home)
22 Sept
CSC Dumbravita
0 : 2
CSM Resita
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
05 Sept
Ramnicu Valcea
1 : 2
CSM Resita
29 Aug
CSM Resita
2 : 1
Steaua Bucuresti
22 Aug
Popesti Leordeni
4 : 1
CSM Resita
Page 1 of 6

FC Bacau

(Away)
19 Sept
FC Bacau
2 : 2
Cetatea Suceava
15 Sept
CSM Resita
0 : 1
FC Bacau
06 Sept
FC Bacau
6 : 1
CSC Dumbravita
03 Sept
FC Bacau
1 : 2
Univ. Craiova
31 Aug
FC Bacau
0 : 0
CSM Slatina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC ASA Tg. Mures 7 4 2 1 16:7 51
2 Metalul Buzau 7 6 0 1 16:6 50
3 CSM Slatina 7 5 2 0 13:4 43
4 Poli Iasi 7 3 1 3 7:6 41
5 Gloria Bistrita 7 2 2 3 10:8 34
6 CS Din. Bucuresti 7 3 0 4 9:10 25
7 Ceahlaul 7 0 2 5 4:19 20
8 Campulung 7 0 1 6 4:19 11
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Bacau 7 3 0 4 7:11 42
2 Concordia 7 4 2 1 10:5 41
3 CSM Resita 7 2 1 4 6:10 40
4 Afumati 7 2 1 4 8:9 37
5 CSC Dumbravita 7 2 1 4 6:7 32
6 Selimbar 7 3 1 3 8:9 30
7 CSM Satu Mare 7 4 2 1 16:9 28
8 Tunari 7 3 2 2 9:10 27
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)