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CSM Sacele vs Carpati Covasna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 2
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Sacele host Carpati Covasna in the Liga 3 - Seria 2. CSM Sacele are expected to control this from the start. Carpati Covasna have shipped 3.43 goals a game lately, while CSM Sacele have conceded 1.66 and scored 1.45. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (2.13 - 1.31) back CSM Sacele to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
CSM Sacele
15%
Draws
21%
Carpati Covasna
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CSM Sacele

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CSM Sacele come out ahead of Carpati Covasna on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans CSM Sacele's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
CSM Sacele Clean Sheet 18%
Carpati Covasna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Sacele Carpati Covasna
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 11 0
Draws 4 1
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.45 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.66 3.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Sacele 76 / 100
Carpati Covasna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Sacele Carpati Covasna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Sacele Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpati Covasna has conceded goals in 100% of their last 7 outings.

Attacking prowess: CSM Sacele scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Carpati Covasna's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

CSM Sacele has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CSM Sacele VS Carpati Covasna
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 3
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Sacele

(Home)
09 Oct
ARO Campulung
0 : 1
CSM Sacele
03 Oct
CSM Sacele
3 : 4
ACS Medias
26 Sept
CSM Corona Brasov
4 : 0
CSM Sacele
23 Sept
CSM Sacele
3 : 4
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
19 Sept
Olimpic Zarnesti
1 : 0
CSM Sacele
Page 1 of 6

Carpati Covasna

(Away)
03 Oct
Carpati Covasna
0 : 2
Baicoi
25 Sept
ARO Campulung
1 : 1
Carpati Covasna
22 Sept
Carpati Covasna
1 : 4
ACS Medias
19 Sept
CSM Corona Brasov
7 : 0
Carpati Covasna
12 Sept
Carpati Covasna
1 : 3
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Corona Brasov 7 5 2 0 20:3 17
2 Inter Sibiu 7 5 0 2 19:6 15
3 Baicoi 7 4 3 0 15:5 15
4 Olimpic Zarnesti 7 5 0 2 16:16 15
5 ACS Medias 7 4 2 1 16:10 14
6 CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 7 4 1 2 17:11 13
7 Sepsi 2 7 4 0 3 14:14 12
8 ARO Campulung 7 2 4 1 16:12 10
9 CSM Sacele 7 2 0 5 9:17 6
10 Tricolorul Breaza 7 0 1 6 6:21 1
11 Carpati Covasna 7 0 1 6 5:24 1
12 Kids Tampa Brasov 7 0 0 7 2:16 0
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 2 (Relegation Group)