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CSM Satu Mare vs Afumati Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Daniel Prodan Stadium, Satu Mare
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Match Events

28'
Botogan A.
38'
Sub
Marin M. In: Danila E.
Out: Marin M.
41'
Enache A.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between CSM Satu Mare and Afumati finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Afumati.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
CSM Satu Mare
30%
Draws
58%
Afumati
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Afumati

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Afumati carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Afumati taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors CSM Satu Mare here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 15%
Afumati Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Afumati
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.03 1.72
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Afumati
0:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga 2
Afumati vs CSM Satu Mare
1:3
Dec 13, 2025 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Afumati
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Afumati Compare

Top Goalscorer Enache A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ghinet V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 15 / 100
Afumati 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Afumati

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Afumati Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Afumati has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: CSM Satu Mare scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Solid form: CSM Satu Mare remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS Afumati
0.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Satu Mare

(Home)
01 Oct
CFR Cluj
2 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Metaloglobus Bucharest
1 : 1
CSM Satu Mare
06 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
1 : 1
Politehnica Timisoara
29 Aug
Gloria Bistrita
1 : 0
CSM Satu Mare
Page 1 of 6

Afumati

(Away)
02 Oct
Petrolul
3 : 2
Afumati
19 Sept
CSM Satu Mare
0 : 2
Afumati
12 Sept
Afumati
2 : 2
FC ASA Tg. Mures
05 Sept
Concordia
1 : 2
Afumati
29 Aug
Afumati
2 : 1
Unirea Slobozia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Slatina 8 7 1 0 17:5 22
2 Politehnica Timisoara 8 6 2 0 18:7 20
3 CSM Resita 8 6 0 2 13:8 18
4 FC Bacau 8 4 3 1 19:8 15
5 Chindia Targoviste 8 5 0 3 17:8 15
6 Popesti Leordeni 8 4 3 1 19:14 15
7 Concordia 8 5 0 3 17:13 15
8 Metalul Buzau 8 4 2 2 9:7 14
9 Afumati 8 4 2 2 12:12 14
10 Cetatea Suceava 8 3 3 2 15:11 12
11 Gloria Bistrita 8 4 0 4 12:10 12
12 Metaloglobus Bucharest 8 3 2 3 11:12 11
13 FC ASA Tg. Mures 8 3 2 3 12:15 11
14 Ramnicu Valcea 8 3 2 3 10:13 11
15 FC Bihor 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
16 Selimbar 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
17 Stefanesti 8 2 0 6 6:15 6
18 Steaua Bucuresti 8 1 2 5 9:17 5
19 Unirea Slobozia 8 1 1 6 11:12 4
20 CSM Satu Mare 8 0 4 4 3:10 4
21 CSC Dumbravita 8 0 3 5 5:16 3
22 CS Din. Bucuresti 8 1 0 7 9:27 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)