Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSM Satu Mare vs Selimbar

Romania Romania

Liga 2 Daniel Prodan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Donca M.
21'
Marin M.
46'
Sub
Natea C. In: Serban A.
Out: Natea C.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 game between CSM Satu Mare and Selimbar finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CSM Satu Mare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
CSM Satu Mare
6%
Draws
4%
Selimbar
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: CSM Satu Mare

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • CSM Satu Mare carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on CSM Satu Mare taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
CSM Satu Mare Clean Sheet 68%
Selimbar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Satu Mare Selimbar
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 2.25 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
CSM Satu Mare vs Selimbar
4:0
Sep 20, 2025 Liga 2
Selimbar vs CSM Satu Mare
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSM Satu Mare Compare

Top Goalscorer Donca M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marin M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Selimbar Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Satu Mare 95 / 100
Selimbar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Satu Mare Selimbar

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: CSM Satu Mare remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

CSM Satu Mare found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Selimbar conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

CSM Satu Mare VS Selimbar
2.25 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC ASA Tg. Mures742116:751
2Metalul Buzau760116:650
3CSM Slatina752013:443
4Poli Iasi73137:641
5Gloria Bistrita722310:834
6CS Din. Bucuresti73049:1025
7Ceahlaul70254:1920
8Campulung70164:1911
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Bacau73047:1142
2Concordia742110:541
3CSM Resita72146:1040
4Afumati72148:937
5CSC Dumbravita72146:732
6Selimbar73138:930
7CSM Satu Mare742116:928
8Tunari73229:1027