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CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petrosani

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 6
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Targu Jiu play Jiul Petrosani in the Liga 3 - Seria 6. It looks like a close match. Recently, CSM Targu Jiu averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Jiul Petrosani averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, CSM Targu Jiu won 1, Jiul Petrosani won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 5, 2025 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for CSM Targu Jiu and 1.19 for Jiul Petrosani. This points to a Jiul Petrosani double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
CSM Targu Jiu
29%
Draws
36%
Jiul Petrosani
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Jiul Petrosani

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • CSM Targu Jiu picked up more points recently compared to Jiul Petrosani.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.19 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 44%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
CSM Targu Jiu Clean Sheet 20%
Jiul Petrosani Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Targu Jiu Jiul Petrosani
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 12
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.33 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 5, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Targu Jiu vs Jiul Petrosani
3:1
Sep 23, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 6
Jiul Petrosani vs CSM Targu Jiu
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Targu Jiu 36 / 100
Jiul Petrosani 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Targu Jiu Jiul Petrosani

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Jiul Petrosani or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +15.7%
2.63
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSM Targu Jiu attacking → ← attacking Jiul Petrosani

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Targu Jiu scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Jiul Petrosani let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CSM Targu Jiu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jiul Petrosani lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 45
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ramnicu Valcea22165155:2053
2Minerul Lupeni22124633:2340
3Farcasesti22115652:4138
4Jiul Petrosani22107535:2237
5ACS Medias22114747:3537
6Pausesti-Otasau22931030:4330
7Inter Sibiu22841031:3528
8Muscelul Muscel2269734:3327
9CSM Targu Jiu2276926:3327
10Unirea Bascov22651133:3723
11Viitorul Daesti22291131:4715
12Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti22231715:539