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Stadium Background

CSM Vaslui vs Ceahlaul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 1
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

CSM Vaslui host Ceahlaul in the Liga 3 - Seria 1. This has CSM Vaslui written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: CSM Vaslui at 1.97 goals for, 1.3 against; Ceahlaul at 0.94 for, 2.22 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.38 vs 0.75, favoring CSM Vaslui. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
CSM Vaslui
30%
Draws
12%
Ceahlaul
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSM Vaslui

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Vaslui lately — more wins on the board than Ceahlaul.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on CSM Vaslui taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
CSM Vaslui Clean Sheet 20%
Ceahlaul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSM Vaslui Ceahlaul
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 17 5
Draws 6 7
Losses 7 20
Goals Scored 1.97 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.3 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSM Vaslui 85 / 100
Ceahlaul 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSM Vaslui Ceahlaul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Vaslui Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSM Vaslui scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Ceahlaul let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: CSM Vaslui stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ceahlaul's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

CSM Vaslui VS Ceahlaul
2.63 Goals Scored 0.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSM Vaslui

(Home)
17 Oct
CSM Vaslui
2 : 0
Adjud
09 Oct
FC Bacau 2
2 : 4
CSM Vaslui
03 Oct
CSM Vaslui
2 : 1
ACS USV Iasi
26 Sept
Viitorul Onesti
1 : 3
CSM Vaslui
23 Sept
CSM Vaslui
3 : 1
Targu Secuiesc
Page 1 of 6

Ceahlaul

(Away)
17 Oct
VSK Gyergyo
2 : 2
Ceahlaul
10 Oct
Ceahlaul
1 : 1
CSM Pascani
03 Oct
Adjud
1 : 1
Ceahlaul
26 Sept
Ceahlaul
0 : 3
Aerostar
23 Sept
FC Bacau 2
1 : 0
Ceahlaul
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSM Vaslui 9 8 1 0 23:9 25
2 Adjud 9 5 2 2 19:10 17
3 Targu Secuiesc 9 5 2 2 21:14 17
4 ACS USV Iasi 9 5 2 2 12:8 17
5 Bradul Putna 9 5 1 3 22:14 16
6 Odorheiu 9 3 5 1 14:11 14
7 Aerostar 9 4 1 4 14:12 13
8 FC Bacau 2 9 3 2 4 12:20 11
9 VSK Gyergyo 9 2 2 5 13:18 8
10 Viitorul Onesti 9 1 2 6 13:17 5
11 Ceahlaul 9 0 4 5 5:19 4
12 CSM Pascani 9 0 2 7 9:25 2
Promotion - Liga 3 - Promotion Group 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 1 (Relegation Group)