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CSO Filiasi vs CSM Alexandria Prediction & H2H Stats

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
CSO Filiasi
30%
Draws
39%
CSM Alexandria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to CSM Alexandria lately — more wins on the board than CSO Filiasi.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • CSM Alexandria have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
CSO Filiasi Clean Sheet 11%
CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSO Filiasi CSM Alexandria
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.68
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs CSO Filiasi
2:0
Mar 27, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSO Filiasi vs CSM Alexandria
2:2
Oct 31, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
CSM Alexandria vs CSO Filiasi
2:0
Mar 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSO Filiasi vs CSM Alexandria
1:3
Oct 8, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 6
CSM Alexandria vs CSO Filiasi
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSO Filiasi 30 / 100
CSM Alexandria 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSO Filiasi CSM Alexandria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSO Filiasi's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

CSM Alexandria has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: CSO Filiasi stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

CSO Filiasi VS CSM Alexandria
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

CSO Filiasi

(Home)
25 Sept
CSO Filiasi
1 : 1
Pausesti-Otasau
22 Sept
CSO Filiasi
2 : 2
CS U Craiova 2
19 Sept
Curtisoara
1 : 3
CSO Filiasi
11 Sept
CSO Filiasi
4 : 2
Farcasesti
04 Sept
CSM Targu Jiu
3 : 1
CSO Filiasi
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CSM Alexandria

(Away)
25 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
22 Sept
FCSB 2
1 : 3
CSM Alexandria
18 Sept
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu
12 Sept
Omega Sport
1 : 0
CSM Alexandria
04 Sept
CSM Alexandria
1 : 0
Progresul Spartac
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CS U Craiova 2 20 15 4 1 37:16 49
2 Cetatea Turnu Magurele 20 12 7 1 41:19 43
3 Academica Bals 20 12 5 3 35:18 41
4 LPS HD Clinceni 20 12 3 5 44:19 39
5 CSM Alexandria 20 10 6 4 35:19 36
6 Curtisoara 20 8 4 8 28:31 28
7 Progresul Spartac 20 8 2 10 33:33 26
8 SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 20 5 2 13 19:38 17
9 Adunatii-Copaceni 20 4 1 15 16:36 13
10 CSO Filiasi 20 3 2 15 15:42 11
11 Nanov 20 2 2 16 13:45 8
12 FC U Craiova 0 0 0 0 0:0 -106
Relegation - Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)