Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5

CSM Alexandria

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CSO Filiasi play CSM Alexandria in the Liga 3 - Seria 5. CSM Alexandria are favorites here. Recently, CSO Filiasi averaged 0.71 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. CSM Alexandria averaged 1.61 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, CSO Filiasi won 0, CSM Alexandria won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 8, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for CSO Filiasi and 1.88 for CSM Alexandria. This points to a CSM Alexandria double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%

CSO Filiasi

17%

Draws

68%

CSM Alexandria

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: CSM Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

CSO Filiasi picked up more points recently compared to CSM Alexandria.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.88 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 43%

CSO Filiasi Clean Sheet 10%

CSM Alexandria Clean Sheet 17%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	CSO Filiasi	CSM Alexandria
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	5	12
Draws	2	7
Losses	21	9
Goals Scored	0.71	1.61
Goals Conceded	2.21	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 8, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5

CSM Alexandria vs CSO Filiasi

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 1 - 3

2:0

Mar 27, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5

CSO Filiasi vs CSM Alexandria

Possession: 40% - 52% Cards: 2 - 1

2:2

Oct 31, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5

CSM Alexandria vs CSO Filiasi

Possession: 56% - 50% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Mar 12, 2022 Liga 3 - Seria 6

CSO Filiasi vs CSM Alexandria

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 0 - 4

1:3

Oct 8, 2021 Liga 3 - Seria 6

CSM Alexandria vs CSO Filiasi

Possession: 48% - 44% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSO Filiasi 16 / 100

CSM Alexandria 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

CSO Filiasi CSM Alexandria

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSM Alexandria Win (2)

Secondary Pick CSM Alexandria & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +114.3%

14.29

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

CSO Filiasi attacking → ← attacking CSM Alexandria

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSO Filiasi scored in 52% of their last 27 games.

CSM Alexandria let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

CSO Filiasi went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

CSM Alexandria lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

17 Points in last 5 43

0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CS U Craiova 2	20	15	4	1	37:16	49
2	Cetatea Turnu Magurele	20	12	7	1	41:19	43
3	Academica Bals	20	12	5	3	35:18	41
4	LPS HD Clinceni	20	12	3	5	44:19	39
5	CSM Alexandria	20	10	6	4	35:19	36
6	Curtisoara	20	8	4	8	28:31	28
7	Progresul Spartac	20	8	2	10	33:33	26
8	SCM Dunarea Giurgiu	20	5	2	13	19:38	17
9	Adunatii-Copaceni	20	4	1	15	16:36	13
10	CSO Filiasi	20	3	2	15	15:42	11
11	Nanov	20	2	2	16	13:45	8
12	FC U Craiova	0	0	0	0	0:0	-106