Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte vs Progresul Mogosoaia

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Progresul Mogosoaia in this Liga 3 - Seria 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Progresul Mogosoaia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
20%
Draws
40%
Progresul Mogosoaia
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Progresul Mogosoaia lately — more wins on the board than CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Progresul Mogosoaia have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte Clean Sheet 10%
Progresul Mogosoaia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte Progresul Mogosoaia
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.43 1.43
Goals Conceded 2 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte vs Progresul Mogosoaia
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Mogosoaia vs CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
2:0
Oct 18, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte vs Progresul Mogosoaia
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte 56 / 100
Progresul Mogosoaia 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte Progresul Mogosoaia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Progresul Mogosoaia let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte VS Progresul Mogosoaia
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte

(Home)
19 Sept
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
5 : 1
Tricolorul Breaza
12 Sept
Carpati Covasna
1 : 3
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
05 Sept
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
1 : 1
ARO Campulung
28 Aug
ACS Medias
3 : 0
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
29 Jul
Petrolul Berca
5 : 2
CSO Teleajenul Valenii de Munte
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Progresul Mogosoaia

(Away)
19 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
0 : 3
Din. Bucuresti 2
12 Sept
Progresul Spartac
1 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
04 Sept
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 0
Voluntari 2
28 Aug
CSM Alexandria
2 : 2
Progresul Mogosoaia
12 Aug
Progresul Mogosoaia
1 : 4
Concordia
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