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CSP vs Botafogo PB

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Marco Antonio

AI Match Summary

Botafogo PB in this Paraibano 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Botafogo PB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CSP
20%
Draws
38%
Botafogo PB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Botafogo PB have won more games recently than CSP.
  • Model gives CSP a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraibano 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Botafogo PB have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
CSP Clean Sheet 68%
Botafogo PB Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Botafogo PB
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 9 16
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.34 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.12
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2024 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs CSP
2:1
Feb 13, 2023 Paraibano
CSP vs Botafogo PB
0:1
Jan 12, 2022 Club Friendly
Botafogo PB vs CSP
2:3
Feb 13, 2021 Club Friendly
Botafogo PB vs CSP
2:1
Jul 28, 2020 Paraibano
Botafogo PB vs CSP
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Botafogo PB Compare

Top Goalscorer Marco Antonio
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 46 / 100
Botafogo PB 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Botafogo PB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: CSP scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Botafogo PB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 33 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

CSP has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Botafogo PB
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
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Botafogo PB

(Away)
06 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 0
Botafogo PB
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
22 Aug
Botafogo PB
3 : 1
Guarani
15 Aug
Amazonas
0 : 0
Botafogo PB
08 Aug
Botafogo PB
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)