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CSP vs Sao Paulo Crystal

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Augusto Pedra

AI Match Summary

The Paraibano 2023 game between CSP and Sao Paulo Crystal finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Paulo Crystal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
CSP
20%
Draws
38%
Sao Paulo Crystal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CSP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Sao Paulo Crystal haven't matched CSP's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on CSP taking it.
  • Regular Paraibano 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
CSP Clean Sheet 20%
Sao Paulo Crystal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CSP Sao Paulo Crystal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.34 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2024 Paraibano
Sao Paulo Crystal vs CSP
0:3
Jan 24, 2023 Paraibano
CSP vs Sao Paulo Crystal
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CSP Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sao Paulo Crystal Compare

Top Goalscorer Augusto Pedra
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CSP 42 / 100
Sao Paulo Crystal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CSP Sao Paulo Crystal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CSP's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Sao Paulo Crystal's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: CSP remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

CSP VS Sao Paulo Crystal
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

CSP

(Home)
16 Mar
Nacional PB
1 : 2
CSP
09 Mar
CSP
1 : 2
Treze PB
05 Mar
CSP
0 : 2
Serra Branca
01 Mar
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 3
CSP
25 Feb
Campinense
0 : 1
CSP
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Sao Paulo Crystal

(Away)
16 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
0 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
12 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
0 : 0
Sport PB
24 Sept
Confianca PB
1 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
21 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Atletico Cajazeirense
18 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
3 : 0
Serrano PB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sousa 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Treze PB 9 4 3 2 11:7 15
3 Sao Paulo Crystal 9 4 3 2 7:6 15
4 Botafogo PB 9 3 6 0 11:6 15
5 Nacional PB 9 4 2 3 11:8 14
6 Campinense 9 3 5 1 8:6 14
7 CSP 9 2 3 4 9:13 9
8 Serra Branca 9 1 6 2 8:11 9
9 Queimadense 9 0 4 5 6:13 4
10 Auto Esporte 9 0 2 7 7:18 2
Promotion - Paraibano 2023 (Play Offs)