Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuba U20 vs Mexico U20

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Championship U20 2024 Estadio Miguel Alemán Valdés, Celaya
Cuba U20 Logo

Cuba U20

0 - 2
FT
Mexico U20 Logo

Mexico U20

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Levy M.
Assist: Morales A.
7' Event
Ochoa D.
28'
Rodriguez S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-2, with Mexico U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cuba U20
15%
Draws
67%
Mexico U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mexico U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Mexico U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 67% — that's where the model lands on Mexico U20 taking it.
  • Mexico U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Mexico U20, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mexico U20 here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cuba U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Mexico U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuba U20 Mexico U20
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 12 16
Draws 4 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.8
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.21 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2024 CONCACAF Championship U20
Cuba U20 vs Mexico U20
0:2
Jan 10, 2015 CONCACAF Championship U20
Mexico U20 vs Cuba U20
9:1
Mar 29, 2011 CONCACAF Championship U20
Cuba U20 vs Mexico U20
0:3
Nov 27, 1993 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U20 vs Cuba U20
2:0
Nov 27, 1990 Central American & Caribbean Games
Mexico U20 vs Cuba U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.6

Mexico U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Levy M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ochoa D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuba U20 10 / 100
Mexico U20 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuba U20 Mexico U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mexico U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Cuba U20 found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Mexico U20 let in goals in 69% of their last 35 matches.

Cuba U20 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cuba U20 VS Mexico U20
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
2.86 Goals Conceded 1
86% Over 1.5 63%
86% Over 2.5 50%
71% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuba U20

(Home)
01 Aug
USA U20
5 : 0
Cuba U20
28 Jul
Haiti U20
3 : 2
Cuba U20
25 Jul
Cuba U20
3 : 0
El Salvador U20
10 Jul
Panama U20
7 : 2
Cuba U20
07 Jul
Panama U20
0 : 0
Cuba U20
Page 1 of 6

Mexico U20

(Away)
09 Aug
USA U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
08 Aug
Canada U20
1 : 2
Mexico U20
06 Aug
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Panama U20
31 Jul
Mexico U20
4 : 0
Guatemala U20
28 Jul
Costa Rica U20
0 : 2
Mexico U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
USA U20 1
Guatemala U20 0
Panama U20 2
Canada U20 1
Honduras U20 1
Cuba U20 2
Mexico U20 2
Costa Rica U20 1
Semi-finals
USA U20 2
Panama U20 1
Cuba U20 0
Mexico U20 2
Final
USA U20 1
Mexico U20 2