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Cucuta vs Alianza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Peralta J.
Penalty Missed
34'
Quinones J.
41'
Vergara C.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Cucuta and Alianza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cucuta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Cucuta
15%
Draws
37%
Alianza
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cucuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Alianza carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Cucuta's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cucuta Alianza
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1 1.04
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Primera A
Cucuta vs Alianza
1:0
Feb 17, 2026 Primera A
Alianza vs Cucuta
1:1
Aug 5, 2020 Primera A
Alianza vs Cucuta
0:0
Feb 8, 2020 Primera A
Cucuta vs Alianza
0:2
Oct 6, 2019 Primera A
Cucuta vs Alianza
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cucuta Compare

Top Goalscorer Peralta J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Alianza Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cucuta 95 / 100
Alianza 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cucuta Alianza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cucuta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cucuta's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Alianza's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 27 matches.

Cucuta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Cucuta VS Alianza
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cucuta

(Home)
11 Oct
Chico
0 : 1
Cucuta
04 Oct
Cucuta
4 : 0
Dep. Pereira
26 Sept
Cucuta
2 : 1
Llaneros
19 Sept
Dep. Cali
3 : 0
Cucuta
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2
Millonarios
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Alianza

(Away)
09 Oct
Alianza
2 : 2
Aguilas Doradas
03 Oct
Dep. Cali
3 : 1
Alianza
27 Sept
Jaguares de Cordoba
1 : 2
Alianza
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 13 8 3 2 25:9 27
2 Atl. Nacional 12 8 2 2 25:11 26
3 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
4 Millonarios 15 6 7 2 23:13 25
5 Bucaramanga 12 6 6 0 21:11 24
6 Ind. Medellin 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
7 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
8 Deportes Tolima 14 5 5 4 17:16 20
9 Once Caldas 14 5 4 5 18:16 19
10 Cucuta 13 5 3 5 16:19 18
11 Aguilas Doradas 13 3 7 3 17:18 16
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
15 Chico 13 3 3 7 11:23 12
16 Junior 13 2 5 6 19:23 11
17 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
18 Dep. Pereira 13 1 7 5 8:18 10
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 13 2 4 7 15:26 10
20 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)