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Cucuta vs Leones

Colombia Colombia

Copa Colombia Estadio General Santander
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cucuta play Leones in the Copa Colombia. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cucuta averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. Leones averaged 0.53 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Cucuta won 2, Leones won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Cucuta and 1.06 for Leones. This points to a Cucuta double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Cucuta
32%
Draws
22%
Leones
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Cucuta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Cucuta picked up more points recently compared to Leones.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Cucuta Clean Sheet 22%
Leones Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cucuta Leones
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 12 7
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.27 0.53
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Copa Colombia
Cucuta vs Leones
0:0
Oct 5, 2025 Primera B
Cucuta vs Leones
4:0
Apr 26, 2025 Primera B
Leones vs Cucuta
0:1
Sep 15, 2024 Primera B
Leones vs Cucuta
1:0
Apr 14, 2024 Primera B
Cucuta vs Leones
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cucuta 46 / 100
Leones 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cucuta Leones

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Cucuta or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cucuta attacking → ← attacking Leones

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cucuta scored in 73% of their last 37 games.

Leones let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cucuta went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Leones lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

51 Points in last 5 22
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.25

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Cali440010:212
2Alianza42116:37
3Boca Juniors de Cali42118:87
4Bucaramanga41038:73
5Real Santander40041:130
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Millonarios431014:510
2Llaneros43017:29
3Chico41216:35
4Patriotas40224:72
5Atletico F.C.40132:161
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ind. Medellin42205:38
2Fortaleza C.E.I.F.41215:35
3Leones41214:55
4Cucuta40312:33
5Orsomarso40313:53
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Dep. Pereira42204:28
2Real Cundinamarca42116:47
3Aguilas Doradas41307:46
4Jaguares de Cordoba41124:34
5Ind. Yumbo40132:101