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Cuellar Balompie vs Palencia CA

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 8 2012/2013 game between Cuellar Balompie and Palencia CA finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Palencia CA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cuellar Balompie
35%
Draws
56%
Palencia CA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Palencia CA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Palencia CA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Palencia CA's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cuellar Balompie Clean Sheet 17%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuellar Balompie Palencia CA
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 1 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 24 8
Goals Scored 0.6 1.29
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Cuellar Balompie vs Palencia CA
0:2
Sep 30, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Cuellar Balompie
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuellar Balompie 10 / 100
Palencia CA 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuellar Balompie Palencia CA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Palencia CA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Cuellar Balompie's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Palencia CA let in goals in 58% of their last 31 matches.

Cuellar Balompie has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Palencia CA
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuellar Balompie

(Home)
19 May
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 1
Unami CP
12 May
La Granja
1 : 1
Cuellar Balompie
05 May
Burgos CF
4 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
27 Apr
Cuellar Balompie
0 : 5
Real Avila
20 Apr
Villaralbo
2 : 0
Cuellar Balompie
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Palencia CA

(Away)
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0
Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1
Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2
Bembibre
22 Aug
Palencia CA
1 : 1
Atletico Tordesillas
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1
Palencia CA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF 38 28 6 4 80:19 90
2 Leonesa 38 25 7 6 70:25 82
3 Arandina 38 25 7 6 66:22 82
4 Gimnastica Segoviana 38 24 3 11 80:38 75
5 Valladolid Promesas 38 22 7 9 68:25 73
6 La Granja 38 20 9 9 50:36 69
7 Atletico Astorga 38 20 8 10 60:41 68
8 Bembibre 38 16 11 11 55:43 59
9 La Virgen 38 16 9 13 51:51 57
10 Real Avila 38 16 7 15 47:46 55
11 Numancia B 38 15 8 15 51:56 53
12 Palencia CA 38 11 10 17 36:47 43
13 Almazan 38 11 10 17 36:55 43
14 Unami CP 38 11 5 22 39:67 38
15 UD Salamanca (Inactive) B 38 8 12 18 27:48 36
16 Racing Lermeno 38 8 10 20 35:64 34
17 Santa Marta Tormes 38 7 11 20 25:50 32
18 Palencia CF 38 9 5 24 32:67 32
19 Villaralbo 38 9 5 24 24:65 32
20 Cuellar Balompie 38 1 6 31 20:87 9
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)