Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuiaba U20 vs Gremio U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Pimenta J.
81' Event
Goncalves do Nascimento L.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro U20 game between Cuiaba U20 and Gremio U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cuiaba U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Cuiaba U20
15%
Draws
40%
Gremio U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Gremio U20 haven't matched Cuiaba U20's recent run of results.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba U20 taking it.
  • Regular Brasileiro U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Cuiaba U20 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cuiaba U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Gremio U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba U20 Gremio U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 2 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 27, 2026 Brasileiro U20
Cuiaba U20 vs Gremio U20
2:0
Jul 16, 2025 Brasileiro U20
Gremio U20 vs Cuiaba U20
2:4
Aug 21, 2024 Brasileiro U20
Gremio U20 vs Cuiaba U20
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pimenta J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goncalves do Nascimento L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.02
Avg xA / game 1.31

Gremio U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba U20 39 / 100
Gremio U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba U20 Gremio U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Cuiaba U20 found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Gremio U20 conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cuiaba U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba U20 VS Gremio U20
3.75 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 83%
75% Over 2.5 83%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba U20

(Home)
10 Sept
Santos U20
2 : 1
Cuiaba U20
11 Aug
Cuiaba U20
1 : 0
Paulistano FC U20
01 Aug
Uniao Rondonopolis U20
0 : 1
Cuiaba U20
27 Jul
Cuiaba U20
3 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis U20
18 Jul
Cuiaba U20
1 : 1
Luverdense U20
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Gremio U20

(Away)
08 Sept
Gremio U20
5 : 0
Real SC U20
01 Jul
Criciuma U20
3 : 2
Gremio U20
27 Jun
Internacional U20
4 : 2
Gremio U20
23 Jun
Gremio U20
4 : 0
Bahia U20
20 Jun
Gremio U20
2 : 1
Fortaleza U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palmeiras U20 19 13 5 1 54:23 44
2 Vasco U20 19 11 3 5 36:19 36
3 Botafogo RJ U20 19 11 3 5 32:20 36
4 Bragantino U20 19 10 4 5 49:35 34
5 Athletico-PR U20 19 9 5 5 39:25 32
6 Santos U20 19 9 4 6 29:24 31
7 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 19 8 5 6 35:27 29
8 Corinthians U20 19 8 5 6 31:25 29
9 Bahia U20 19 8 5 6 32:30 29
10 Flamengo RJ U20 19 7 7 5 28:29 28
11 Sao Paulo U20 19 6 7 6 27:26 25
12 America MG U20 19 6 7 6 25:37 25
13 Cuiaba U20 19 6 3 10 19:27 21
14 Vitoria U20 19 5 5 9 20:31 20
15 Gremio U20 19 6 1 12 31:42 19
16 Fluminense U20 19 5 4 10 25:31 19
17 EC Juventude U20 19 5 3 11 20:39 18
18 Criciuma U20 19 5 2 12 24:40 17
19 Avai U20 19 3 7 9 24:43 16
20 Fortaleza U20 19 2 9 8 18:25 15
Promotion - Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs)