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Cuiaba vs Caceres

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Cuiaba Logo

Cuiaba

0 - 1
FT
Caceres Logo

Caceres

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Caceres in this Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Cuiaba
30%
Draws
23%
Caceres
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cuiaba lately — more wins on the board than Caceres.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Cuiaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caceres, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%
Caceres Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Caceres
Matches Played 28 17
Wins 8 7
Draws 10 5
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 0.89 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 11, 2025 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Caceres
0:0
Sep 8, 2024 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cuiaba vs Caceres
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 31 / 100
Caceres 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Caceres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caceres has conceded goals in 65% of their last 17 outings.

Solid form: Cuiaba remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Cuiaba scored in 57% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 0.50 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
22 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 1
Goias
19 Aug
Cuiaba
1 : 0
Operario-PR
15 Aug
Ceara
1 : 3
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 6

Caceres

(Away)
12 Oct
Primavera AC
2 : 2
Caceres
05 Oct
Caceres
0 : 2
Nova Mutum EC
28 Sept
Academia
3 : 2
Caceres
14 Sept
Caceres
1 : 1
Operario VG
08 Sept
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Caceres
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nova Mutum EC 6 5 1 0 11:1 16
2 Operario VG 6 3 3 0 12:4 12
3 Mixto 6 3 2 1 11:5 11
4 Academia 6 3 0 3 8:11 9
5 Caceres 6 1 3 2 8:10 6
6 Primavera AC 6 1 1 4 7:16 4
7 Cuiaba 6 0 0 6 1:11 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) 2024 (Play Offs)