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Cuiaba vs Campo Novo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Cuiaba Logo

Cuiaba

8 - 0
FT
Campo Novo Logo

Campo Novo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 8-0. The second leg ended 8-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cuiaba
15%
Draws
0%
Campo Novo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Campo Novo on wins alone.
  • Cuiaba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Cuiaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuiaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%
Campo Novo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Campo Novo
Matches Played 29 19
Wins 15 2
Draws 6 0
Losses 8 17
Goals Scored 1.79 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 3.47
Expected Goals (xG) 3.59 0.74
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 21, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cuiaba vs Campo Novo
8:0
Sep 13, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Campo Novo vs Cuiaba
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 85 / 100
Campo Novo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Campo Novo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Campo Novo let in goals in 95% of their last 19 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Campo Novo's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cuiaba found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Campo Novo
2.38 Goals Scored 0.6
0.88 Goals Conceded 4.8
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
04 Nov
Cuiaba
3 : 1
Uniao Rondonopolis
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 6

Campo Novo

(Away)
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
11 Oct
Campo Novo
0 : 5
Cacerense
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
19 Sept
Cacerense
3 : 2
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapada 8 6 1 1 16:4 19
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Santa Cruz MT 8 4 0 4 17:12 12
4 Várzea Grande EC 8 2 0 6 12:25 6
5 Uirapuru 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 6 6 0 0 24:4 18
2 Sorriso EC 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
3 Cacerense 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Campo Novo 6 0 0 6 3:26 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)