Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuiaba vs Criciuma

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Joao Basso
Assist: Pepe
46'
Sub
Thiaguinho In: Jhonata Robert
Out: Thiaguinho
46'
Sub
Nicolas In: Waguininho
Out: Nicolas

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cuiaba and Criciuma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cuiaba
22%
Draws
60%
Criciuma
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Criciuma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Cuiaba haven't matched Criciuma's recent run of results.
  • Criciuma are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%
Criciuma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Criciuma
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 15
Draws 12 10
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
1:1
Nov 23, 2025 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
1:0
Jul 29, 2025 Serie B
Criciuma vs Cuiaba
1:0
Aug 31, 2024 Serie A Betano
Cuiaba vs Criciuma
2:1
Jun 9, 2024 Serie A Betano
Criciuma vs Cuiaba
2:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Basso
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Criciuma Compare

Top Goalscorer Caue Santos
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 20 / 100
Criciuma 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Criciuma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Cuiaba has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Cuiaba scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Criciuma has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Criciuma
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
27 Jul
Sport Recife
1 : 1
Cuiaba
23 Jul
Cuiaba
0 : 1
Atletico GO
17 Jul
EC Juventude
2 : 0
Cuiaba
12 Jul
Sao Bernardo
2 : 2
Cuiaba
02 Jul
Cuiaba
1 : 0
America MG
Page 1 of 6

Criciuma

(Away)
26 Jul
Criciuma
0 : 0
Nautico
21 Jul
Novorizontino
0 : 1
Criciuma
18 Jul
Criciuma
2 : 0
Vila Nova FC
08 Jul
Ponte Preta
1 : 2
Criciuma
04 Jul
Criciuma
1 : 0
Sport Recife
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Criciuma 20 11 7 2 23:12 40
2 EC Juventude 20 10 5 5 22:12 35
3 Operario-PR 20 10 5 5 28:25 35
4 Fortaleza 20 10 4 6 23:19 34
5 Vila Nova FC 20 10 4 6 27:24 34
6 Novorizontino 20 9 6 5 32:19 33
7 Atletico GO 20 8 7 5 23:20 31
8 CRB 20 8 5 7 31:32 29
9 Goias 20 8 5 7 21:26 29
10 Sport Recife 20 6 11 3 25:19 29
11 Athletic Club 20 6 10 4 19:18 28
12 Sao Bernardo 20 7 6 7 28:23 27
13 Nautico 20 7 4 9 24:24 25
14 Cuiaba 20 5 10 5 15:15 25
15 Botafogo SP 20 6 6 8 24:21 24
16 Ceara 20 5 7 8 20:25 22
17 Londrina 20 5 5 10 27:31 20
18 Avai 20 5 5 10 21:27 20
19 America MG 20 2 5 13 14:31 11
20 Ponte Preta 20 2 3 15 15:39 9
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)