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Cuiaba vs Nautico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Lorenzo
Assist: Jean Dias
46'
Sub
Auremir In: Nunez P.
Out: Auremir
46'
Sub
Reginaldo In: Arnaldo
Out: Reginaldo

AI Match Summary

Cuiaba in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cuiaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cuiaba
15%
Draws
26%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Nautico haven't matched Cuiaba's recent run of results.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Nautico
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.21
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 0.58
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Nautico
3:0
May 22, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Cuiaba
1:0
Dec 23, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Cuiaba
2:0
Sep 30, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Nautico
1:0
Mar 15, 2018 Copa do Brasil
Cuiaba vs Nautico
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cuiaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Kauan Cristtyan
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lorenzo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Nautico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 95 / 100
Nautico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Nautico conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cuiaba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Nautico
1.88 Goals Scored 0.29
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
25% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
04 Nov
Cuiaba
3 : 1
Uniao Rondonopolis
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 6

Nautico

(Away)
31 Oct
Nautico
1 : 0
Avai
26 Oct
EC Juventude
4 : 0
Nautico
19 Oct
Goias
0 : 0
Nautico
11 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Vila Nova FC
08 Oct
Nautico
0 : 2
Novorizontino
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novorizontino 36 19 10 7 64:31 67
2 EC Juventude 36 18 11 7 47:25 65
3 Vila Nova FC 36 18 9 9 52:38 63
4 Criciuma 36 18 8 10 38:30 62
5 Fortaleza 36 16 14 6 43:31 62
6 CRB 36 16 7 13 54:51 55
7 Goias 36 16 7 13 38:41 55
8 Sport Recife 36 14 13 9 48:39 55
9 Atletico GO 36 14 13 9 42:33 55
10 Sao Bernardo 36 14 10 12 51:40 52
11 Botafogo SP 37 14 9 14 45:39 51
12 Operario-PR 36 14 9 13 46:48 51
13 Cuiaba 36 11 14 11 33:30 47
14 Athletic Club 36 11 14 11 42:41 47
15 Nautico 36 12 10 14 40:46 46
16 Ceara 36 11 10 15 38:46 43
17 Avai 36 10 7 19 33:46 37
18 Londrina 37 8 8 21 45:58 32
19 America MG 36 7 5 24 26:55 26
20 Ponte Preta 36 3 6 27 21:78 15
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)