Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cuiaba vs Nautico

Brazil Brazil

Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Tue, Sep 22, 2026
VS
12:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cuiaba host Nautico in the Serie B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Cuiaba at 1.25 goals for, 0.96 against; Nautico at 1.25 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Cuiaba have won 1 to Nautico's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.00, favoring Cuiaba. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cuiaba
30%
Draws
31%
Nautico
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Nautico haven't matched Cuiaba's recent run of results.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Cuiaba taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Nautico have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Nautico Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Nautico
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Serie B
Nautico vs Cuiaba
1:0
Dec 23, 2020 Serie B
Nautico vs Cuiaba
2:0
Sep 30, 2020 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Nautico
1:0
Mar 15, 2018 Copa Betano do Brasil
Cuiaba vs Nautico
0:1
Feb 28, 2018 Copa Betano do Brasil
Nautico vs Cuiaba
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 95 / 100
Nautico 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Nautico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Nautico's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Nautico
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
17 Sept
Cuiaba
4 : 0
Sorriso EC
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
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Nautico

(Away)
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
America MG
2 : 1
Nautico
03 Sept
Nautico
1 : 0
Botafogo SP
28 Aug
Nautico
2 : 1
Athletic Club
23 Aug
Sao Bernardo
1 : 1
Nautico
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vila Nova FC 29 15 6 8 41:31 51
2 Novorizontino 29 14 8 7 49:27 50
3 EC Juventude 28 14 8 6 30:17 50
4 Fortaleza 28 13 9 6 31:23 48
5 Criciuma 28 13 8 7 28:25 47
6 Atletico GO 29 12 10 7 36:27 46
7 CRB 28 13 6 9 42:40 45
8 Operario-PR 28 12 8 8 39:36 44
9 Sao Bernardo 29 11 8 10 40:31 41
10 Sport Recife 28 10 11 7 37:28 41
11 Athletic Club 28 10 10 8 33:30 40
12 Cuiaba 28 9 13 6 27:22 40
13 Goias 28 11 6 11 28:34 39
14 Nautico 28 10 8 10 35:33 38
15 Ceara 29 9 8 12 31:37 35
16 Botafogo SP 28 8 7 13 31:35 31
17 Avai 28 8 6 14 29:36 30
18 Londrina 28 7 7 14 38:39 28
19 America MG 29 4 5 20 21:49 17
20 Ponte Preta 28 2 4 22 16:62 10
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)