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Cuiaba vs Rondonopolis EC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Matogrossense 2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-0, with Cuiaba advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Cuiaba
35%
Draws
24%
Rondonopolis EC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

24% / Low Confidence
  • Cuiaba carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Rondonopolis EC's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Cuiaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuiaba, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.6%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%
Rondonopolis EC Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Rondonopolis EC
Matches Played 53 20
Wins 27 7
Draws 18 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.57 1.6
Goals Conceded 0.62 1.05
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2016 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Rondonopolis EC
0:0
Feb 20, 2016 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba
0:0
Apr 26, 2015 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Rondonopolis EC
3:0
Apr 23, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba
0:2
Feb 27, 2015 Matogrossense
Rondonopolis EC vs Cuiaba
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 20 / 100
Rondonopolis EC 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Rondonopolis EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rondonopolis EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 53 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rondonopolis EC conceded in 60% of 20 recent games.

Recent resilience: Cuiaba stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
13 Sept
Novorizontino
1 : 1
Cuiaba
13 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 2
Cuiaba
08 Sept
Cuiaba
3 : 0
Athletic Club
04 Sept
Criciuma
2 : 0
Cuiaba
29 Aug
Botafogo SP
1 : 2
Cuiaba
Page 1 of 11

Rondonopolis EC

(Away)
08 Jun
Rondonopolis EC
0 : 1
Caceres
02 Jun
Caceres
0 : 0
Rondonopolis EC
26 May
Pocone
1 : 1
Rondonopolis EC
19 May
Rondonopolis EC
3 : 3
Várzea Grande EC
11 May
Rondonopolis EC
2 : 0
Atletico MT
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Várzea Grande EC 4
Luverdense 3
Rondonopolis EC 0
Cuiaba 5
Final
Várzea Grande EC 1
Cuiaba 2