Sport Picks
Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá 
Match Events
14'
14'
Fabricio Daniel
Assist: Lucas Fernandes
17'
17'
Marcao
45'
45'
Calebe Costa
Assist: David Miguel
AI Match Summary
The Serie B game between Cuiaba and Sao Bernardo finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Bernardo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sao Bernardo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Cuiaba come out ahead of Sao Bernardo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Cuiaba's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 68%
Sao Bernardo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Cuiaba | Sao Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 17 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.65 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.40 | 1.35 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 1, 2026 Serie B
Cuiaba vs Sao Bernardo
1:2
Jul 12, 2026 Serie B
Sao Bernardo vs Cuiaba
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Cuiaba Compare
Top Goalscorer Calebe Costa
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.7
Sao Bernardo Compare
Top Goalscorer Fabricio Daniel
1 Goals Assists Leader Davi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.75
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Cuiaba 95 / 100
Sao Bernardo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Cuiaba Sao Bernardo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Cuiaba scored in 71% of their last 34 games.
Sao Bernardo let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.
Cuiaba went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Cuiaba VS Sao Bernardo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29
63% Over 1.5 71%
38% Over 2.5 71%
25% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Cuiaba
(Home) 01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2 Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3 Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0 Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0 Campo Novo
20 Oct
Londrina
1 : 0 Cuiaba
Page 1 of 7
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2 Sao Bernardo
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0 Campo Novo
11 Oct
Cuiaba
0 : 1 Avai
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
03 Oct
Cuiaba
2 : 0 Cacerense
Page 1 of 4
Sao Bernardo
(Away) 01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2 Sao Bernardo
24 Oct
Sao Bernardo
3 : 2 Vila Nova FC
18 Oct
Sao Bernardo
0 : 1 Criciuma
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2 Sao Bernardo
11 Oct
EC Juventude
2 : 2 Sao Bernardo
06 Oct
Sport Recife
2 : 1 Sao Bernardo
25 Sept
Novorizontino
0 : 0 Sao Bernardo
14 Sept
America MG
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
Promotion - Serie A 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
