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Cuiaba vs Sorriso EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Cuiaba Logo

Cuiaba

4 - 0
FT
Sorriso EC Logo

Sorriso EC

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. This leg finished 4-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cuiaba
15%
Draws
42%
Sorriso EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cuiaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Sorriso EC haven't matched Cuiaba's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Cuiaba a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Cuiaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuiaba, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 17%
Sorriso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Sorriso EC
Matches Played 29 18
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 2
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.22
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.42
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Sorriso EC vs Cuiaba
2:3
Sep 17, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cuiaba vs Sorriso EC
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 66 / 100
Sorriso EC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Sorriso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Cuiaba scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Sorriso EC let in goals in 67% of their last 18 matches.

Solid form: Cuiaba remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Sorriso EC
1.88 Goals Scored 1.83
1 Goals Conceded 0.83
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
04 Nov
Cuiaba
3 : 1
Uniao Rondonopolis
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
Page 1 of 6

Sorriso EC

(Away)
31 Oct
Sorriso EC
0 : 1
Chapada
24 Oct
Cacerense
0 : 1
Sorriso EC
10 Oct
Sorriso EC
2 : 3
Cuiaba
03 Oct
Sorriso EC
4 : 1
Campo Novo
27 Sept
Campo Novo
0 : 4
Sorriso EC
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chapada 8 6 1 1 16:4 19
2 Uniao Rondonopolis 8 5 1 2 12:7 16
3 Santa Cruz MT 8 4 0 4 17:12 12
4 Várzea Grande EC 8 2 0 6 12:25 6
5 Uirapuru 8 1 2 5 8:17 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 6 6 0 0 24:4 18
2 Sorriso EC 6 3 0 3 12:10 9
3 Cacerense 6 3 0 3 12:11 9
4 Campo Novo 6 0 0 6 3:26 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)