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Cuiaba vs Uniao Rondonopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) Arena Pantanal, Cuiabá
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cuiaba
15%
Draws
51%
Uniao Rondonopolis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Cuiaba have won more games recently than Uniao Rondonopolis.
  • Model gives Cuiaba a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Cuiaba have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cuiaba, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cuiaba have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Cuiaba Clean Sheet 20%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cuiaba Uniao Rondonopolis
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 7 9
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.77 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 4, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Cuiaba vs Uniao Rondonopolis
3:1
Oct 29, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Cuiaba
0:3
Jan 27, 2026 Matogrossense
Cuiaba vs Uniao Rondonopolis
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Cuiaba
2:2
Apr 6, 2024 Matogrossense
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Cuiaba
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cuiaba 76 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cuiaba Uniao Rondonopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cuiaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cuiaba's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Uniao Rondonopolis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Cuiaba has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cuiaba VS Uniao Rondonopolis
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cuiaba

(Home)
01 Nov
Cuiaba
1 : 2
Sao Bernardo
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
26 Oct
America MG
1 : 0
Cuiaba
21 Oct
Cuiaba
8 : 0
Campo Novo
20 Oct
Londrina
1 : 0
Cuiaba
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Uniao Rondonopolis

(Away)
29 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 3
Cuiaba
14 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
5 : 0
Várzea Grande EC
11 Oct
Chapada
1 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Chapada 1
Sorriso EC 0
Cuiaba 6
Uniao Rondonopolis 1
Final
TBD -
Cuiaba -