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Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Thu, Oct 15, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cumbaya host 22 de Julio in the Serie B. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. 22 de Julio have shipped 2.07 goals a game lately, while Cumbaya have conceded 1 and scored 1.11. Past meetings favor Cumbaya slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 17, 2026, ending 1:7. The numbers (2.31 xG vs 0.81) point toward Cumbaya. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Cumbaya
15%
Draws
12%
22 de Julio
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumbaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • 22 de Julio haven't matched Cumbaya's recent run of results.
  • Cumbaya are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cumbaya have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 20%
22 de Julio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya 22 de Julio
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 3
Draws 11 4
Losses 10 22
Goals Scored 1.11 0.59
Goals Conceded 1 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 17, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:7
Jul 2, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
4:0
Apr 17, 2026 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
2:1
Oct 15, 2025 Serie B
22 de Julio vs Cumbaya
1:3
Sep 16, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs 22 de Julio
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 85 / 100
22 de Julio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya 22 de Julio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbaya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

22 de Julio let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

22 de Julio's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Cumbaya found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS 22 de Julio
1.75 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
01 Oct
Cumbaya
0 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
26 Sept
EL Nacional
0 : 3
Cumbaya
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
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22 de Julio

(Away)
07 Oct
22 de Julio
2 : 5
EL Nacional
03 Oct
Gualaceo
4 : 2
22 de Julio
24 Sept
LDU Portoviejo
2 : 2
22 de Julio
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
12 Sept
EL Nacional
3 : 0
22 de Julio
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