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Cumbaya vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

68' Event
Padilla J.

AI Match Summary

Gualaceo in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gualaceo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Cumbaya
20%
Draws
61%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Gualaceo lately — more wins on the board than Cumbaya.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Gualaceo taking it.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Gualaceo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 16%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya Gualaceo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.14 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:1
Jun 10, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
1:1
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
2:0
Apr 30, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbaya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 10 / 100
Gualaceo 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cumbaya found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Gualaceo has conceded goals in 41% of their last 29 outings.

Cumbaya went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS Gualaceo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
20 Aug
Atletico FC
3 : 0
Cumbaya
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Gualaceo

(Away)
19 Sept
Gualaceo
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
29 Aug
Gualaceo
3 : 0
EL Nacional
20 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 3
Gualaceo
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