Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs Gualaceo

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
Allauca F.
90' Event
Cardenas S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cumbaya and Gualaceo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Cumbaya
30%
Draws
61%
Gualaceo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gualaceo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Cumbaya haven't matched Gualaceo's recent run of results.
  • Gualaceo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Gualaceo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 20%
Gualaceo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya Gualaceo
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 13
Draws 13 8
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 0.97 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.07 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:1
Jun 10, 2026 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
1:1
Jul 8, 2025 Serie B
Gualaceo vs Cumbaya
2:0
Apr 30, 2025 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Gualaceo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Cardenas S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Gualaceo Compare

Top Goalscorer Allauca F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 24 / 100
Gualaceo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya Gualaceo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gualaceo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Cumbaya's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Gualaceo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Cumbaya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS Gualaceo
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
38% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
20 Aug
Atletico FC
3 : 0
Cumbaya
13 Aug
Cumbaya
3 : 3
Dep. Santo Domingo
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Gualaceo

(Away)
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
22 de Julio
0 : 3
Gualaceo
29 Aug
Gualaceo
3 : 0
EL Nacional
20 Aug
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 3
Gualaceo
15 Aug
Gualaceo
0 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)