Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumbaya vs Vinotinto

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
Cumbaya Logo

Cumbaya

1 - 1
FT
Vinotinto Logo

Vinotinto

Our Tip

Match Events

46' Event
Diaz S.
75' Event
Lugo J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Serie B game between Cumbaya and Vinotinto finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Cumbaya
15%
Draws
67%
Vinotinto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vinotinto

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Vinotinto come out ahead of Cumbaya on wins alone.
  • 67% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie B form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Cumbaya Clean Sheet 17%
Vinotinto Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbaya Vinotinto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 6 14
Draws 12 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.11 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 4, 2026 Serie B
Vinotinto vs Cumbaya
1:1
Apr 2, 2026 Serie B
Cumbaya vs Vinotinto
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Diaz S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vinotinto Compare

Top Goalscorer Lugo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbaya 36 / 100
Vinotinto 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbaya Vinotinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vinotinto Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Vinotinto conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Cumbaya found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Cumbaya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumbaya VS Vinotinto
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbaya

(Home)
17 Sept
22 de Julio
1 : 7
Cumbaya
10 Sept
Cumbaya
0 : 1
Gualaceo
04 Sept
Dep. Santo Domingo
2 : 1
Cumbaya
26 Aug
Cumbaya
0 : 0
LDU Portoviejo
20 Aug
Atletico FC
3 : 0
Cumbaya
Page 1 of 6

Vinotinto

(Away)
24 Sept
Independiente Juniors
2 : 3
Vinotinto
17 Sept
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Nueve de Octubre
11 Sept
CD Cuenca Juniors
0 : 2
Vinotinto
03 Sept
Vinotinto
4 : 2
San Antonio
27 Aug
Vinotinto
1 : 0
Atletico FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente Juniors 22 10 9 3 28:16 39
2 Atletico FC 22 9 11 2 25:14 38
3 Nueve de Octubre 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
4 CD Cuenca Juniors 22 9 7 6 20:23 34
5 Vinotinto 22 8 7 7 25:17 31
6 San Antonio 22 7 10 5 24:21 31
7 LDU Portoviejo 22 7 6 9 17:22 27
8 Cumbaya 22 5 11 6 22:22 26
9 Dep. Santo Domingo 22 6 10 6 17:16 25
10 Gualaceo 22 7 8 7 19:16 23
11 EL Nacional 22 2 6 14 15:32 9
12 22 de Julio 22 4 3 15 10:31 9
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Serie B (Relegation Group)