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Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic

Australia Australia

SA State League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cumberland United play Adelaide Olympic in the SA State League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Cumberland United averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.48 conceded. Adelaide Olympic averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.41 conceded. In past meetings, Cumberland United won 3, Adelaide Olympic won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Cumberland United and 1.69 for Adelaide Olympic. This points to a Adelaide Olympic double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Cumberland United
15%
Draws
43%
Adelaide Olympic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Adelaide Olympic

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Cumberland United picked up more points recently compared to Adelaide Olympic.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 13%
Adelaide Olympic Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 81%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Adelaide Olympic
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 14
Draws 2 4
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United
2:1
Aug 2, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic
2:1
May 10, 2025 SA State League
Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United
2:1
Aug 6, 2022 NPL South Australia
Adelaide Olympic vs Cumberland United
2:3
May 14, 2022 NPL South Australia
Cumberland United vs Adelaide Olympic
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Swan J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Adelaide Olympic Compare

Top Goalscorer Phelps K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 40 / 100
Adelaide Olympic 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Adelaide Olympic

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Adelaide Olympic or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23.5%
2.94
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Cumberland United attacking → ← attacking Adelaide Olympic

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Adelaide Olympic let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Cumberland United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Adelaide Olympic lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 46
1.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sturt Lions FC22191258:1858
2Fulham United22143548:2245
3West Adelaide22124646:2340
4Salisbury United22114736:3237
5Blue Eagles22104844:2734
6Cumberland United221011135:3431
7The Cove FC2294940:4431
8Adelaide Olympic2286830:3330
9Adelaide Cobras22741132:4525
10South Adelaide22531428:4218
11Adelaide Vipers22461223:4218
12Pontian Eagles22221815:738