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Cumberland United vs Blue Eagles

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
LoBasso D.
45' Event
Phelps K.
76' Event
Min D.

AI Match Summary

Cumberland United in this SA State League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Cumberland United
15%
Draws
46%
Blue Eagles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Blue Eagles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Blue Eagles have won more games recently than Cumberland United.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 19%
Blue Eagles Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Blue Eagles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 6
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.47 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Blue Eagles
2:1
May 2, 2026 SA State League
Blue Eagles vs Cumberland United
2:0
Aug 16, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Blue Eagles
2:3
May 24, 2025 SA State League
Blue Eagles vs Cumberland United
4:0
Aug 10, 2024 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Blue Eagles
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer LoBasso D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Min D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Blue Eagles Compare

Top Goalscorer Phelps K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 58 / 100
Blue Eagles 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Blue Eagles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumberland United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Blue Eagles conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Cumberland United's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Cumberland United went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS Blue Eagles
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
15 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 1
Modbury Jets
08 Aug
Cumberland United
0 : 2
Adelaide Olympic
01 Aug
The Cove FC
0 : 2
Cumberland United
25 Jul
Cumberland United
2 : 1
Blue Eagles
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
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Blue Eagles

(Away)
05 Sept
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
4 : 0
Blue Eagles
29 Aug
Blue Eagles
0 : 3
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
22 Aug
Fulham United
2 : 3
Blue Eagles
15 Aug
Blue Eagles
2 : 1
Eastern United
08 Aug
Fulham United
0 : 0
Blue Eagles
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Croatia Raiders 22 15 2 5 56:26 47
2 Modbury Jets 22 13 5 4 46:20 44
3 Adelaide Olympic 22 14 1 7 42:25 43
4 Fulham United 22 11 4 7 42:31 37
5 Blue Eagles 22 10 6 6 36:29 36
6 Adelaide Atletico 22 11 3 8 40:34 36
7 Cumberland United 22 11 1 10 36:28 34
8 The Cove FC 22 7 5 10 29:36 26
9 Eastern United 22 6 4 12 25:44 22
10 Adelaide Cobras 22 6 2 14 22:45 20
11 Salisbury United 22 5 2 15 28:48 17
12 South Adelaide 22 4 3 15 26:62 15
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)