Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cumberland United vs Fulham United

Australia Australia

SA State League
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Fusco L.
49' Event
Fusco L.
90' Event
Shearer C.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League game between Cumberland United and Fulham United finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fulham United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Cumberland United
40%
Draws
29%
Fulham United
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Cumberland United haven't matched Fulham United's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular SA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Cumberland United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 14%
Fulham United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Fulham United
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 15 17
Draws 3 4
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 SA State League
Fulham United vs Cumberland United
1:3
Apr 18, 2026 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Fulham United
1:2
Jun 21, 2025 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Fulham United
3:1
Mar 22, 2025 SA State League
Fulham United vs Cumberland United
0:1
Jun 8, 2024 SA State League
Fulham United vs Cumberland United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Shearer C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Fulham United Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusco L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 31 / 100
Fulham United 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Fulham United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cumberland United scored in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Fulham United let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Cumberland United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS Fulham United
2 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumberland United

(Home)
21 Jul
Cumberland United
0 : 3
Heidelberg Utd
16 Jul
Fulham United
1 : 3
Cumberland United
04 Jul
Cumberland United
1 : 2
Adelaide Croatia Raiders
26 Jun
Eastern United
0 : 1
Cumberland United
20 Jun
Cumberland United
5 : 1
South Adelaide
Page 1 of 7

Fulham United

(Away)
16 Jul
Fulham United
1 : 3
Cumberland United
04 Jul
Adelaide Cobras
0 : 3
Fulham United
27 Jun
South Adelaide
0 : 1
Fulham United
20 Jun
Fulham United
2 : 2
Salisbury United
13 Jun
Fulham United
4 : 1
Adelaide Atletico
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Adelaide Croatia Raiders18121549:2337
2Adelaide Olympic18111633:2334
3Fulham United18103538:2733
4Modbury Jets1895434:1832
5Blue Eagles1894531:2531
6Adelaide Atletico1893633:2530
7Cumberland United1891832:2428
8The Cove FC1875626:2626
9Adelaide Cobras18521121:3717
10Eastern United18441018:3616
11South Adelaide18331219:4912
12Salisbury United18321321:4211
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)
Promotion - SA State League (Play Offs)