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Cumberland United vs Western Strikers

Australia Australia

SA State League 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Barrow B.
13' Event
Munro N.
42' Event
Munro N.

AI Match Summary

The SA State League 2024 game between Cumberland United and Western Strikers finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumberland United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cumberland United
6%
Draws
4%
Western Strikers
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cumberland United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cumberland United come out ahead of Western Strikers on wins alone.
  • Model gives Cumberland United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cumberland United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cumberland United Clean Sheet 20%
Western Strikers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumberland United Western Strikers
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 4
Draws 3 3
Losses 14 23
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2024 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Western Strikers
3:2
Apr 27, 2024 SA State League
Western Strikers vs Cumberland United
2:2
Aug 31, 2019 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Western Strikers
2:1
Jul 20, 2019 SA State League
Cumberland United vs Western Strikers
4:0
Apr 13, 2019 SA State League
Western Strikers vs Cumberland United
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumberland United Compare

Top Goalscorer Munro N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Redman A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Western Strikers Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrow B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diallo M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumberland United 85 / 100
Western Strikers 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumberland United Western Strikers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumberland United scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Western Strikers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Western Strikers has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumberland United VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Torrens Birkalla22151650:2746
2Playford Patriots22135455:2744
3Blue Eagles22123756:3539
4Cumberland United22107536:3037
5Salisbury United22103944:3633
6West Adelaide22103934:3433
7Adelaide Cobras221021035:3632
8Sturt Lions FC221021033:4232
9Fulham United22831125:3127
10Adelaide Vipers22821234:4826
11Western Strikers22431526:5215
12Adelaide Atletico22421621:5114