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Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts Logo

Cumbernauld Colts

3 - 2
FT
Gretna 2008 Logo

Gretna 2008

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
McMurtrie L.
Assist: Muir R.
6' Event
Osemeke A.
Assist: Howe H.
28' Event
Semple J.
Assist: Horn T.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Cumbernauld Colts and Gretna 2008 finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumbernauld Colts.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Cumbernauld Colts
30%
Draws
8%
Gretna 2008
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cumbernauld Colts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cumbernauld Colts come out ahead of Gretna 2008 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cumbernauld Colts's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 11%
Gretna 2008 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbernauld Colts Gretna 2008
Matches Played 33 33
Wins 16 7
Draws 7 6
Losses 10 20
Goals Scored 2.15 1.42
Goals Conceded 1.67 2.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 15, 2026 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008
3:2
Aug 15, 2026 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts
3:3
Apr 4, 2026 Lowland League
Cumbernauld Colts vs Gretna 2008
3:1
Nov 8, 2025 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts
2:1
Dec 10, 2024 Lowland League
Gretna 2008 vs Cumbernauld Colts
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumbernauld Colts Compare

Top Goalscorer Osemeke A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Semple J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.88
Avg xA / game 1.22

Gretna 2008 Compare

Top Goalscorer McMurtrie L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Anderson I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbernauld Colts 83 / 100
Gretna 2008 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbernauld Colts Gretna 2008

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbernauld Colts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Cumbernauld Colts scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Gretna 2008's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 33 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Cumbernauld Colts stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumbernauld Colts VS Gretna 2008
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbernauld Colts

(Home)
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
4 : 4
Johnstone Burgh
08 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
0 : 3
Kelty Hearts
29 Aug
Troon FC
1 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
25 Aug
Cumbernauld Colts
1 : 1
Kilmarnock B
Page 1 of 7

Gretna 2008

(Away)
15 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
12 Sept
Gretna 2008
2 : 3
Pollok
29 Aug
Largs Thistle
3 : 2
Gretna 2008
22 Aug
Clydebank FC
7 : 1
Gretna 2008
15 Aug
Gretna 2008
3 : 3
Cumbernauld Colts
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 8 8 0 0 17:4 24
2 Hill Of Beath 9 7 0 2 14:10 21
3 Linlithgow Rose 9 6 1 2 25:11 19
4 Brechin 8 6 1 1 17:10 19
5 Broxburn Athletic 8 6 1 1 13:7 19
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 9 5 1 3 20:15 16
8 Civil Service Strollers 9 4 1 4 13:14 13
9 Boness United 9 4 1 4 16:18 13
10 East Stirlingshire 9 3 1 5 13:19 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 9 2 2 5 9:14 8
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 8 1 1 6 6:17 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 9 1 0 8 9:24 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 9 7 0 2 28:13 21
2 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
3 Pollok 9 6 2 1 21:12 20
4 Auchinleck Talbot 9 6 1 2 31:9 19
5 Largs Thistle 9 6 1 2 13:9 19
6 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
7 Caledonian Braves 9 5 1 3 26:21 16
8 Johnstone Burgh 8 4 3 1 19:13 15
9 Cumnock Juniors 8 4 2 2 21:14 14
10 Troon FC 9 4 0 5 18:15 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Albion Rovers 9 2 2 5 9:16 8
13 Beith 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
14 Gretna 2008 10 2 1 7 20:32 7
15 Renfrew 8 1 1 6 13:26 4
16 Newton Stewart 8 1 1 6 9:32 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 9 0 1 8 5:30 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)