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Cumbernauld Colts vs Newton Stewart - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cumbernauld Colts host Newton Stewart in the Lowland League. Cumbernauld Colts are expected to control this from the start. Cumbernauld Colts have averaged 2.12 scored and 1.74 conceded recently, against Newton Stewart's 0.86 scored and 3.64 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 2.57 vs 1.68, favoring Cumbernauld Colts. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cumbernauld Colts
15%
Draws
26%
Newton Stewart
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumbernauld Colts

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cumbernauld Colts come out ahead of Newton Stewart on wins alone.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Cumbernauld Colts taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 73%
Over 4.5 Goals 33%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Cumbernauld Colts Clean Sheet 13%
Newton Stewart Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumbernauld Colts Newton Stewart
Matches Played 34 22
Wins 15 2
Draws 8 4
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 2.12 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.74 3.64
Expected Goals (xG) 2.57 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumbernauld Colts 84 / 100
Newton Stewart 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumbernauld Colts Newton Stewart

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumbernauld Colts Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumbernauld Colts found the back of the net in 85% of recent matches (34 games).

Newton Stewart has conceded goals in 95% of their last 22 outings.

Cumbernauld Colts has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Newton Stewart's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cumbernauld Colts VS Newton Stewart
2 Goals Scored 0.86
2.5 Goals Conceded 3.14
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 86%
75% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumbernauld Colts

(Home)
13 Oct
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 1
East Fife
03 Oct
Haddington Athletic
0 : 2
Cumbernauld Colts
26 Sept
Cumbernauld Colts
2 : 4
St. Mirren B
22 Sept
Stirling
1 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
19 Sept
Albion Rovers
2 : 1
Cumbernauld Colts
Page 1 of 7

Newton Stewart

(Away)
03 Oct
Newton Stewart
1 : 3
Johnstone Burgh
26 Sept
Caledonian Braves
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
19 Sept
Newton Stewart
2 : 1
Dalbeattie Star
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
29 Aug
Cumnock Juniors
5 : 0
Newton Stewart
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 10 8 2 0 19:6 26
2 Broxburn Athletic 10 7 2 1 16:9 23
3 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
4 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 11 5 2 4 26:20 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Renfrew 11 3 1 7 20:30 10
14 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
15 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)