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Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

Lowland League
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Syme D.
Own Goal
36' Event
Gallagher G.
60'
Veitch C.

AI Match Summary

The Lowland League game between Cumnock Juniors and Troon FC finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cumnock Juniors.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Cumnock Juniors
15%
Draws
28%
Troon FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cumnock Juniors

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Troon FC haven't matched Cumnock Juniors's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Cumnock Juniors's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Lowland League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Cumnock Juniors Clean Sheet 10%
Troon FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cumnock Juniors Troon FC
Matches Played 20 13
Wins 9 5
Draws 3 1
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 2 1.85
Goals Conceded 1.9 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 23, 2026 Lowland League
Cumnock Juniors vs Troon FC
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cumnock Juniors Compare

Top Goalscorer Gallagher G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Craik Z.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Troon FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cumnock Juniors 83 / 100
Troon FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cumnock Juniors Troon FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cumnock Juniors Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cumnock Juniors scored in 90% of their last 20 games.

Troon FC let in goals in 92% of their last 13 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Cumnock Juniors went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cumnock Juniors VS Troon FC
3 Goals Scored 2.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cumnock Juniors

(Home)
02 Oct
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Auchinleck Talbot
26 Sept
Auchinleck Talbot
4 : 0
Cumnock Juniors
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
2 : 0
Beith
12 Sept
Dalbeattie Star
1 : 6
Cumnock Juniors
Page 1 of 4

Troon FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Deveronvale
2 : 3
Troon FC
26 Sept
Troon FC
2 : 4
Kilwinning Rangers
23 Sept
Cumnock Juniors
4 : 0
Troon FC
16 Sept
Troon FC
1 : 2
Johnstone Burgh
12 Sept
Newton Stewart
1 : 5
Troon FC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tranent FC 9 8 1 0 18:5 25
2 Linlithgow Rose 10 7 1 2 29:12 22
3 Brechin 9 7 1 1 20:10 22
4 Broxburn Athletic 9 7 1 1 15:8 22
5 Hill Of Beath 10 7 1 2 15:11 22
6 Bonnyrigg Rose 9 6 0 3 23:9 18
7 Lochee United 10 5 2 3 21:16 17
8 Civil Service Strollers 10 5 1 4 16:16 16
9 Boness United 10 4 1 5 17:22 13
10 East Stirlingshire 10 3 1 6 14:21 10
11 Cowdenbeath 9 3 0 6 13:15 9
12 Musselburgh 10 2 3 5 10:15 9
13 Berwick 9 1 2 6 9:17 5
14 Dunipace 9 1 1 7 6:20 4
15 Gala Fairydean Rovers 9 1 0 8 9:22 3
16 Stirling University 10 1 0 9 11:27 3
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kilwinning Rangers 11 9 0 2 35:15 27
2 Pollok 10 7 2 1 26:13 23
3 Largs Thistle 11 7 2 2 15:10 23
4 Auchinleck Talbot 11 7 1 3 35:12 22
5 Clydebank FC 9 6 2 1 32:18 20
6 Caledonian Braves 10 6 1 3 31:21 19
7 Johnstone Burgh 10 5 3 2 22:16 18
8 Celtic B 10 5 2 3 28:19 17
9 Cumnock Juniors 10 5 2 3 25:18 17
10 Troon FC 11 4 0 7 20:23 12
11 Cumbernauld Colts 10 2 4 4 20:23 10
12 Gretna 2008 11 3 1 7 25:33 10
13 Beith 11 2 3 6 14:28 9
14 Albion Rovers 10 2 2 6 10:21 8
15 Renfrew 10 2 1 7 18:29 7
16 Newton Stewart 9 1 1 7 9:37 4
17 Dalbeattie Star 10 0 1 9 6:35 1
Promotion - League Two (Relegation - Play Offs)