Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curacao vs Jamaica

World World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Comenencia L.
Assist: Bacuna J.
46'
Sub
Hansen S. In: Gorre K.
Out: Hansen S.
58'
Sub
Margaritha J. In: Noslin T.
Out: Margaritha J.

AI Match Summary

Curacao in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Curacao
20%
Draws
51%
Jamaica
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jamaica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Curacao haven't matched Jamaica's recent run of results.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Jamaica taking it.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Curacao Clean Sheet 15%
Jamaica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curacao Jamaica
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 19, 2025 World Championship
Jamaica vs Curacao
0:0
Oct 10, 2025 World Championship
Curacao vs Jamaica
2:0
Jun 26, 2019 Gold Cup
Jamaica vs Curacao
1:1
Jul 9, 2017 Gold Cup
Curacao vs Jamaica
0:2
Jun 25, 2017 Caribbean Cup
Jamaica vs Curacao
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Comenencia L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gorre K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jamaica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 27 / 100
Jamaica 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curacao Jamaica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jamaica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curacao's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Jamaica has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Curacao has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Jamaica
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.25
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)
25 Jun
Curacao
0 : 2
Ivory Coast
21 Jun
Ecuador
0 : 0
Curacao
14 Jun
Germany
7 : 1
Curacao
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
30 May
Scotland
4 : 1
Curacao
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Jamaica

(Away)
06 Jun
Jamaica
1 : 1
South Africa
30 May
Jamaica
0 : 3
Nigeria
27 May
Jamaica
2 : 0
India
31 Mar
D.R. Congo
1 : 0
Jamaica
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Panama 6 3 3 0 9:4 12
2 Suriname 6 2 3 1 9:6 9
3 Guatemala 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
4 El Salvador 6 1 0 5 2:11 3
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Curacao 6 3 3 0 13:3 12
2 Jamaica 6 3 2 1 11:3 11
3 Trinidad & Tobago 6 1 4 1 7:6 7
4 Bermuda 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haiti 6 3 2 1 9:6 11
2 Honduras 6 2 3 1 5:2 9
3 Costa Rica 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Nicaragua 6 1 1 4 4:12 4
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Main)
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Promotion)