Sport Picks

Curacao vs Saint Lucia Prediction & H2H Stats

World

World Championship 2026 Stadion Ergilio Hato, Willemstad

Curacao

4 - 0

Saint Lucia

Our Tip

Match Events

37'

Kastaneer G.

52'

Kastaneer G.

Assist: Gorre K.

57'

Kastaneer G.

Assist: Brenet J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Curacao and Saint Lucia finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curacao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%

Curacao

15%

Draws

26%

Saint Lucia

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curacao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence

Curacao carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Curacao a 59% chance of winning this.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 46%

Over 4.5 Goals 21%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%

Curacao Clean Sheet 68%

Saint Lucia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Curacao	Saint Lucia
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	13	11
Draws	7	3
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	2.07	1.26
Goals Conceded	1.29	1.93
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.27
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2025 World Championship

Curacao vs Saint Lucia

4:0

Nov 18, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Curacao vs Saint Lucia

4:1

Sep 6, 2024 CONCACAF Nations League

Saint Lucia vs Curacao

2:1

Oct 21, 2012 Caribbean Cup

Curacao vs Saint Lucia

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curacao Compare

Top Goalscorer Kastaneer G.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Bacuna J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Saint Lucia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.71

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curacao 95 / 100

Saint Lucia 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Curacao Saint Lucia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curacao Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Saint Lucia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Curacao scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Curacao stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curacao VS Saint Lucia

1.75 Goals Scored 0.29

2.25 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 57%

63% Over 2.5 43%

63% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Curacao

(Home)

28 Sept

Curacao

6 : 1

Nicaragua

25 Sept

Costa Rica

3 : 4

Curacao

25 Jun

Curacao

0 : 2

Ivory Coast

21 Jun

Ecuador

0 : 0

Curacao

14 Jun

Germany

7 : 1

Curacao

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Saint Lucia

(Away)

26 Sept

Barbados

2 : 0

Saint Lucia

27 Mar

Azerbaijan

6 : 1

Saint Lucia

16 Nov

Saint Vincent and the Grenadines

3 : 1

Saint Lucia

12 Nov

Cuba

3 : 0

Saint Lucia

10 Jun

Saint Lucia

2 : 1

Barbados

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