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Curico Unido vs D. Concepcion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Curico Unido Logo

Curico Unido

0 - 4
FT
D. Concepcion Logo

D. Concepcion

Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Larrivey J.
(Penalty)
7' Event
Rodriguez N.
Assist: Jara A.
17'
Sanhueza H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 0-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Curico Unido
15%
Draws
59%
D. Concepcion
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: D. Concepcion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • D. Concepcion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives D. Concepcion a 59% chance of winning this.
  • D. Concepcion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor D. Concepcion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 16%
D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido D. Concepcion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.93 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Chile
D. Concepcion vs Curico Unido
2:0
Sep 23, 2026 Copa Chile
Curico Unido vs D. Concepcion
0:4
Aug 10, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
D. Concepcion vs Curico Unido
0:0
Mar 30, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs D. Concepcion
2:3
Mar 2, 2016 Liga de Ascenso
D. Concepcion vs Curico Unido
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curico Unido Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

D. Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodriguez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Davila Carvajal M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 10 / 100
D. Concepcion 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido D. Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

D. Concepcion has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Attacking prowess: Curico Unido scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Curico Unido went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS D. Concepcion
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
08 Sept
Curico Unido
2 : 1
U. Espanola
Page 1 of 6

D. Concepcion

(Away)
04 Oct
O Higgins
2 : 0
D. Concepcion
30 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
O Higgins
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 1
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Colo Colo 1
A. Italiano 0
Nublense 2
D. Puerto Montt 3
Deportes Santa Cruz 2
O Higgins 5
D. Concepcion 6
Curico Unido 0
U. De Chile 2
Everton 1
Antofagasta 5
Deportes Iquique 2
U. Catolica 1
Union La Calera 2
Coquimbo 4
Cobreloa 2
Quarter-finals
Colo Colo 2
D. Puerto Montt 0
O Higgins 3
D. Concepcion 0
U. De Chile 0
Antofagasta 2
Union La Calera -
Coquimbo -
Semi-finals
TBD -
O Higgins -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -