Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curico Unido play S. Wanderers in the Liga de Ascenso. It looks like a close match. Recently, Curico Unido averaged 1.07 goals scored and 1.53 conceded. S. Wanderers averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.69 conceded. In past meetings, Curico Unido won 1, S. Wanderers won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Curico Unido and 1.56 for S. Wanderers. This points to a Curico Unido double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Curico Unido
35%
Draws
32%
S. Wanderers
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Curico Unido picked up more points recently compared to S. Wanderers.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Over 3.5 Goals 33%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 15%
S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido S. Wanderers
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 11 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.62
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers
0:3
Oct 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers
1:0
Jul 5, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Curico Unido
2:1
Oct 7, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs S. Wanderers
2:2
May 19, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
S. Wanderers vs Curico Unido
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curico Unido Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

S. Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer San Martin D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vera V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 33 / 100
S. Wanderers 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido S. Wanderers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Curico Unido or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12.2%
2.04
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curico Unido attacking → ← attacking S. Wanderers

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curico Unido scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

S. Wanderers let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Curico Unido went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

S. Wanderers lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283