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Curico Unido vs San Felipe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Bicentenario La Granja, Curicó
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Colombo R.
45'
Perales V.
46'
Sub
Sanchez V. In: Ramirez M.
Out: Sanchez V.

AI Match Summary

Curico Unido in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Curico Unido.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Curico Unido
20%
Draws
32%
San Felipe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Curico Unido

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • Curico Unido have won more games recently than San Felipe.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Curico Unido Clean Sheet 22%
San Felipe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curico Unido San Felipe
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 6
Draws 10 7
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.64
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Felipe
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Curico Unido
0:0
Sep 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Curico Unido
4:2
May 3, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Curico Unido vs San Felipe
3:0
Jul 14, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
San Felipe vs Curico Unido
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curico Unido Compare

Top Goalscorer Colombo R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Inostroza B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

San Felipe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curico Unido 37 / 100
San Felipe 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curico Unido San Felipe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Felipe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Felipe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

San Felipe lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Curico Unido found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Curico Unido VS San Felipe
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Curico Unido

(Home)
10 Oct
S. Wanderers
1 : 2
Curico Unido
03 Oct
Magallanes
1 : 0
Curico Unido
27 Sept
D. Concepcion
2 : 0
Curico Unido
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
3 : 0
Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6

San Felipe

(Away)
04 Oct
San Felipe
0 : 2
Deportes Iquique
30 Sept
San Felipe
0 : 1
San Luis
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
05 Sept
Magallanes
0 : 0
San Felipe
29 Aug
San Felipe
0 : 0
Deportes Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 Magallanes 27 13 7 7 44:39 46
4 S. Wanderers 27 12 8 7 42:30 44
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 27 11 8 8 39:36 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 Deportes Temuco 27 9 8 10 42:37 35
11 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 27 7 9 11 24:40 27
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 27 4 10 13 28:42 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)