Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curtin University vs Joondalup City

Australia Australia

WA State League Curtin Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Curtin University play Joondalup City in the WA State League. Joondalup City are favorites here. Recently, Curtin University averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.86 conceded. Joondalup City averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.45 conceded. In past meetings, Curtin University won 0, Joondalup City won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 30, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Curtin University and 1.56 for Joondalup City. This points to a Joondalup City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Curtin University
15%
Draws
62%
Joondalup City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Joondalup City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Curtin University picked up more points recently compared to Joondalup City.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.56 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Curtin University Clean Sheet 15%
Joondalup City Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curtin University Joondalup City
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 9
Goals Scored 1.17 1.94
Goals Conceded 1.86 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 WA State League
Curtin University vs Joondalup City
0:2
Aug 20, 2025 WA State League
Joondalup City vs Curtin University
5:1
May 17, 2025 WA State League
Curtin University vs Joondalup City
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curtin University Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Joondalup City Compare

Top Goalscorer Kral R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kobayashi T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curtin University 24 / 100
Joondalup City 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curtin University Joondalup City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Joondalup City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Joondalup City & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Curtin University attacking → ← attacking Joondalup City

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curtin University scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Joondalup City let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Curtin University went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Joondalup City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 56
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1UWA Nedlands15112237:1735
2Floreat Athena15103234:1633
3Joondalup City1591527:2128
4Mandurah City1582536:2726
5Inglewood Utd1573513:1524
6Kingsley Westside1571724:2222
7Cockburn City1554628:3119
8Quinns1553719:3018
9Murdoch University Melville1536625:3015
10Gwelup Croatia SC1536621:3015
11Curtin University15231011:239
12Subiaco15301225:389