Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville

Australia Australia

WA State League Curtin Stadium, Perth
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Carroll A.
34' Event
Zuljevic G. B.
60' Event
Wynne-willson E.

AI Match Summary

The WA State League game between Curtin University and Murdoch University Melville finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Murdoch University Melville.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Curtin University
28%
Draws
50%
Murdoch University Melville
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Murdoch University Melville

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Murdoch University Melville come out ahead of Curtin University on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Murdoch University Melville taking it.
  • Regular WA State League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Murdoch University Melville here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%
Curtin University Clean Sheet 11%
Murdoch University Melville Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curtin University Murdoch University Melville
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.25 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 WA State League
Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville
2:3
Jul 19, 2025 WA State League
Murdoch University Melville vs Curtin University
2:2
Jun 4, 2025 WA State League
Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville
6:7
Feb 9, 2020 Club Friendly
Curtin University vs Murdoch University Melville
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curtin University Compare

Top Goalscorer Zuljevic G. B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Murdoch University Melville Compare

Top Goalscorer Carroll A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wynne-willson E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curtin University 22 / 100
Murdoch University Melville 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curtin University Murdoch University Melville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Murdoch University Melville has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Attacking prowess: Curtin University scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Curtin University went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curtin University VS Murdoch University Melville
1 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Curtin University

(Home)
25 Jul
UWA Nedlands
2 : 1
Curtin University
18 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Mandurah City
11 Jul
Curtin University
0 : 4
Floreat Athena
04 Jul
Curtin University
3 : 4
Cockburn City
27 Jun
Gwelup Croatia SC
0 : 0
Curtin University
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Murdoch University Melville

(Away)
25 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
5 : 3
Gwelup Croatia SC
18 Jul
Joondalup City
3 : 2
Murdoch University Melville
11 Jul
Subiaco
1 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
04 Jul
Murdoch University Melville
2 : 2
Floreat Athena
27 Jun
Quinns
3 : 1
Murdoch University Melville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floreat Athena18133242:1842
2UWA Nedlands18122441:2338
3Mandurah City18103543:3233
4Joondalup City18101732:2931
5Kingsley Westside1891831:2528
6Inglewood Utd1884618:1928
7Quinns1873825:3424
8Gwelup Croatia SC1856728:3621
9Murdoch University Melville1847733:3719
10Cockburn City1854929:3819
11Subiaco18411329:4213
12Curtin University18231315:339
Promotion - NPL Western Australia 2027 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Western Australia (Relegation)
Relegation - WA State League (Relegation)