Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac

Romania Romania

Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 - Seria 5 2025/2026 game between Curtisoara and Progresul Spartac finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curtisoara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Curtisoara
15%
Draws
47%
Progresul Spartac
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Progresul Spartac

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Curtisoara have managed 1.54 goals a game lately — Progresul Spartac are scoring more at 2.11.
  • Win probability leans Progresul Spartac's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Curtisoara Clean Sheet 17%
Progresul Spartac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curtisoara Progresul Spartac
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 14
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.54 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac
1:1
Oct 4, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 5
Progresul Spartac vs Curtisoara
1:2
Mar 8, 2025 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Curtisoara vs Progresul Spartac
0:3
Oct 19, 2024 Liga 3 - Seria 4
Progresul Spartac vs Curtisoara
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curtisoara 10 / 100
Progresul Spartac 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curtisoara Progresul Spartac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Progresul Spartac Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Progresul Spartac's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 27 matches.

Curtisoara's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Curtisoara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curtisoara VS Progresul Spartac
1.63 Goals Scored 2.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Curtisoara

(Home)
12 Aug
Curtisoara
0 : 3
CSM Slatina
05 Aug
CSO Filiasi
3 : 4
Curtisoara
29 Jul
Curtisoara
1 : 0
Academica Bals
15 May
CSO Filiasi
1 : 4
Curtisoara
09 May
Curtisoara
2 : 0
Adunatii-Copaceni
Page 1 of 6

Progresul Spartac

(Away)
19 Aug
Blaj
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
12 Aug
Progresul Spartac
2 : 1
Metaloglobus Bucharest
05 Aug
Bolintin Vale
1 : 3
Progresul Spartac
29 Jul
Progresul Spartac
2 : 0
Progresul Fundulea
15 May
Adunatii-Copaceni
0 : 8
Progresul Spartac
Page 1 of 6