Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Curzon Ashton vs Hebburn Town

England England

FA Cup 2025/2026 Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Curzon Ashton advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Curzon Ashton
15%
Draws
31%
Hebburn Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Hebburn Town carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Curzon Ashton taking it.
  • Hebburn Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Curzon Ashton, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 16%
Hebburn Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton Hebburn Town
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 10
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.43 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 FA Cup
Curzon Ashton vs Hebburn Town
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton 84 / 100
Hebburn Town 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton Hebburn Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Curzon Ashton scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Hebburn Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Curzon Ashton stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curzon Ashton VS Hebburn Town
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Curzon Ashton

(Home)
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
28 Aug
Cleethorpes
1 : 3
Curzon Ashton
25 Aug
Warrington Town
0 : 4
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6

Hebburn Town

(Away)
12 Sept
Hebburn Town
2 : 1
Hednesford
08 Sept
Radcliffe
5 : 1
Hebburn Town
05 Sept
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Chester
31 Aug
Macclesfield
3 : 0
Hebburn Town
29 Aug
Hebburn Town
4 : 2
King’s Lynn
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Warrington Town 0
Bamber Bridge 3
Silsden 2
Bootle 4
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Kidderminster -
Kidsgrove Athletic 1
Racing Club Warwick 2
Evesham 5
Bromsgrove 2
Macclesfield -
TBD -
Atherton Rovers 5
Atherton Collieries 2
Avro 1
Nantwich 3
Trafford 2
Stockton 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 5
Abbey Hulton 4
Hanley Town 0
Stourbridge 2
Bourne 1
Shepshed 2
Stamford 1
Coventry Sphinx 0
Kendal 0
Dunston 1
Wombwell Town 1
Stocksbridge 3
Corby 1
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 5
Atherstone 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 5
Redcar Athletic 2
West Didsbury & Chorlton 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Hallam 2
Ashton United 4
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Newcastle Blue Star 1
Heaton Stannington 0
TBD -
Marine -
Buxton -
TBD -
Redditch 5
Skegness Town 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Workington 2
Stalybridge 3
TBD -
Chester -
Curzon Ashton -
TBD -
Hebburn Town 1
Longridge Town 0
South Shields -
TBD -
Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 4
Widnes FC -
FC Congleton Town -
TBD -
Chorley -
Ilkeston 1
Spalding United 2
TBD -
Alfreton -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 3
Prescot Cables 2
Lancaster 1
Whitby 2
Matlock 4
Bottesford Town 1
Carlton Town 3
Cleethorpes 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redbridge 1
Royston Town 2
Brentwood 2
Leighton Town 1
Chesham -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Eastwood Community FC 1
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 4
Stratford 1
Sudbury 4
Mildenhall 0
Aveley 3
Hashtag 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 3
Wythenshawe FC 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Rossington Main 0
United of Manchester 4
Bishop Auckland 1
Chadderton 3
Coleshill Town 2
Worcester Raiders 1
Hednesford 3
Basford Utd. 1
Billericay 4
Barton 1
Berkhamsted Town 2
St Ives Town 0
Morpeth 2
Pontefract Collieries 1
Witton Albion 6
Shildon 3
Radcliffe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Leek Town 0
TBD -
Worksop -
Peterborough Sports -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Wimborne 5
TBD -
Bath City -
Burnham FC 0
Jersey Bulls 3
TBD -
Worthing FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
FC Haverhill Rovers 0
Waltham Abbey 3
March Town 1
Gorleston 3
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Canvey Island 0
Stanway Rovers 2
Cockfosters 1
Soul Tower Hamlets 4
Ascot United 1
Flackwell Heath 2
Lewes 1
Bracknell Town 4
Dartford 2
Tadley Calleva 4
Weymouth 2
Woking -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dulwich Hamlet 2
Whitstable Town 3
Havant & Waterlooville 0
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
AFC Stoneham 0
Tavistock 1
Swindon Supermarine 4
Cray Wanderers 2
Hanwell Town 3
Bedfont Sports 4
Littlehampton 3
Uxbridge 1
Welling 2
TBD -
Slough Town -
Enfield FC 3
Ilford 1
TBD -
Enfield Town -
Quorn 8
Sherwood Colliery 0
Long Eaton 1
Kettering 4
Winchester City 0
Fareham 1
Fairford 0
Sholing 2
Eastbourne Borough -
TBD -
Epsom 2
Risborough Rangers 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
Royal Wootton 1
Torpoint 3
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Sittingbourne 1
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Sheppey United 0
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Folkestone 3
Sevenoaks 0
TBD -
Maidstone -
Ebbsfleet -
TBD -
Ashford Town 3
Whyteleafe 2
Maidenhead -
TBD -
Faversham 5
Hastings 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 5
Yate 4
TBD -
Oxford City -
Farnborough -
TBD -
TBD -
Dover Ath. -
Chertsey Town 2
Thame United 1
Ramsgate 1
Cray Valley 2
Steyning Town 5
Lancing 0
TBD -
Tonbridge -
Raynes Park Vale 0
Ashford United 2
Chatham 4
Marlow 0
Deal Town 2
Cobham 0
Beckenham Town 2
Egham Town 3
Gosport Borough 2
Basingstoke 1
Didcot 2
Poole Town 3
Tiverton 3
Taunton Town 4
TBD -
Weston-super-Mare -
Needham Market 4
Tilbury 2
Eynesbury Rovers 3
Arlesey 1
Histon 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
FC Witham Town 3
Lowestoft 2
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Real Bedford 1
Stortford 2
Boston Town 1
Sporting Khalsa 3
TBD -
Hereford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Cheshunt 1
Leiston 2
Knaphill 1
Hackney Wick 2
Worcester 3
Chasetown 4
Mangotsfield 0
Banbury 1
Brightlingsea 2
Bury Town 3
Newmarket 2
Woodford Town 3
Potters 2
Hitchin 4
Aylesbury Vale 1
St. Albans 3
Alvechurch 4
Barwell 2
TBD -
Leamington -
Chelmsford -
TBD -
Bowers & Pitsea 1
Hertford Town 2
Hayes & Yeading 3
Whitehawk 4
Three Bridges 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 3
Portchester 1
TBD -
Chippenham Town -
AFC Totton -
TBD -
TBD -
Torquay -
Shaftesbury Town 3
Exmouth Town 1
Plymouth Parkway 0
Frome Town 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury -
TBD -
Hythe & Dibden 1
Laverstock & Ford 2
Dorking Wanderers -
TBD -
Carshalton 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Wokingham Town FC 1
Burgess Hill 5
Erith Town 0
Farnham 3
Falmouth Town 0
Brixham 5
Slimbridge 0
Dorchester 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Quarter-finals
AFC Fylde 4
Bamber Bridge 1
Bootle 1
Darlington FC 3
Telford 3
Kidderminster 1
Racing Club Warwick 3
Evesham 4
Macclesfield 3
Atherton Rovers 0
Nantwich 3
Trafford 1
Sutton Coldfield Town 3
Stourbridge 1
Shepshed 0
Stamford 2
Dunston 1
Stocksbridge 0
Gainsborough 2
Rushall 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Pickering Town 0
Runcorn Linnets 2
Ashton United 2
Scarborough Athletic 0
Newcastle Blue Star 0
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Redditch 0
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stalybridge 1
Chester 2
Curzon Ashton 4
Hebburn Town 1
South Shields 2
Guiseley 1
FC Congleton Town 0
Chorley 1
Spalding United 3
Alfreton 0
Bedford 1
Dagenham & Red. 2
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hyde 2
Whitby 0
Matlock 3
Carlton Town 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
Brentwood 0
Chesham 1
King’s Lynn 4
Grimsby Borough 2
Halesowen 7
Sudbury 1
Aveley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Gateshead -
West Auckland Town 0
Spennymoor 1
United of Manchester 0
Chadderton 1
Coleshill Town 0
Hednesford 7
Billericay 3
Berkhamsted Town 0
Morpeth 2
Witton Albion 1
Radcliffe 3
Southport 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harborough 3
Worksop 2
Peterborough Sports 2
Hornchurch 1
Wimborne 2
Bath City 1
Jersey Bulls 2
Worthing FC 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Gorleston 0
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Stanway Rovers 0
Soul Tower Hamlets 0
Flackwell Heath 2
Bracknell Town 2
Tadley Calleva 0
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Chichester City 1
Hungerford 3
Swindon Supermarine 0
Hanwell Town 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Welling 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield FC 0
Enfield Town 3
Quorn 2
Kettering 1
Fareham 0
Sholing 3
Eastbourne Borough 4
Epsom 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 4
Torpoint 0
Hampton & Richmond 4
Croydon Athletic 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westfield 2
Horsham FC 8
Folkestone 2
Maidstone 0
Ebbsfleet 5
Ashford Town 0
Maidenhead 0
Faversham 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Westbury United 3
Oxford City 2
Farnborough 4
Dover Ath. 1
Chertsey Town 2
Cray Valley 3
Steyning Town 3
Tonbridge 8
Ashford United 0
Chatham 3
Deal Town 2
Egham Town 1
Gosport Borough 0
Poole Town 3
Taunton Town 1
Weston-super-Mare 4
Needham Market 4
Eynesbury Rovers 2
Mulbarton Wanderers 0
FC Witham Town 2
Hemel Hempstead 4
Stortford 1
Sporting Khalsa 2
Hereford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 4
Hackney Wick 1
Chasetown 1
Banbury 2
Bury Town 1
Woodford Town 2
Hitchin 1
St. Albans 2
Alvechurch 3
Leamington 0
Chelmsford 6
Hertford Town 0
Whitehawk 0
Walton & Hersham 2
Gloucester City 1
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 2
Torquay 0
Shaftesbury Town 2
Frome Town 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 4
Laverstock & Ford 1
Dorking Wanderers 7
Wingate & Finchley 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aldershot -
Burgess Hill 1
Farnham 3
Brixham 1
Dorchester 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sutton -
Semi-finals
AFC Fylde 3
Darlington FC 5
Telford 4
Evesham 1
Macclesfield 2
Nantwich 0
Sutton Coldfield Town 0
Stamford 1
Dunston 1
Gainsborough 2
TBD -
Hartlepool -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Boston United -
Rochdale -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Runcorn Linnets 3
Ashton United 2
Marine 2
Buxton 3
Morecambe -
TBD -
Chester 5
Curzon Ashton 1
South Shields 4
Chorley 1
Spalding United 2
Dagenham & Red. 1
Tamworth -
TBD -
Hyde 1
Matlock 0
Scunthorpe -
TBD -
Royston Town 1
King’s Lynn 5
Halesowen 0
Aveley 1
TBD -
Gateshead -
Spennymoor 3
Chadderton 0
Hednesford 0
Billericay 2
Morpeth 1
Southport 3
TBD -
Halifax -
Altrincham -
TBD -
Harborough 4
Peterborough Sports 1
Wimborne 0
Worthing FC 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Waltham Abbey 2
Maldon & Tiptree 4
Flackwell Heath 4
Bracknell Town 1
Woking -
TBD -
TBD -
Brackley -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
Whitstable Town 2
Hungerford 0
Bedfont Sports 1
Slough Town 2
Enfield Town 5
Quorn 1
Sholing 1
Eastbourne Borough 2
TBD -
Boreham Wood -
Merthyr Town 0
Hampton & Richmond 1
TBD -
Eastleigh -
Southend -
TBD -
Horsham FC 2
Folkestone 3
Ebbsfleet 2
Faversham 1
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Braintree -
TBD -
Westbury United 0
Farnborough 1
Cray Valley 0
Tonbridge 5
Chatham 3
Deal Town 1
Poole Town 0
Weston-super-Mare 2
Needham Market 2
FC Witham Town 1
Hemel Hempstead 5
Hereford 2
TBD -
Yeovil -
Leiston 0
Banbury 3
Woodford Town 0
St. Albans 1
Alvechurch 1
Chelmsford 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Chippenham Town 2
AFC Totton 4
Frome Town 2
TBD -
Truro -
Salisbury 3
Dorking Wanderers 5
TBD -
Aldershot -
Farnham 3
Dorchester 0
TBD -
Sutton -
Final
Darlington FC 0
Telford 6
Macclesfield 1
Stamford 0
Gainsborough 4
Hartlepool 2
Carlisle 5
Boston United 2
Rochdale 1
York City 2
Runcorn Linnets 0
Buxton 1
Morecambe 1
Chester 3
South Shields 4
Spalding United 0
Tamworth 1
Hyde 0
Scunthorpe 4
King’s Lynn 2
Aveley 0
Gateshead 3
Spennymoor 1
Billericay 0
Southport 1
Halifax 3
Altrincham 5
Harborough 2
Worthing FC 1
Forest Green 4
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Flackwell Heath 0
Woking 3
Brackley 7
Wealdstone 5
Whitstable Town 1
Slough Town 3
Enfield Town 2
Eastbourne Borough 0
Boreham Wood 3
Hampton & Richmond 0
Eastleigh 2
Southend 4
Folkestone 1
Ebbsfleet 2
Solihull Moors 0
Braintree 2
Farnborough 0
Tonbridge 1
Chatham 3
Weston-super-Mare 1
Needham Market 0
Hemel Hempstead 2
Yeovil 1
Banbury 1
St. Albans 2
Chelmsford 4
Chippenham Town 3
AFC Totton 3
Truro 2
Dorking Wanderers 2
Aldershot 3
Farnham 5
Sutton 6