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Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Spencer J.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Curzon Ashton and Ilkeston finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curzon Ashton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Curzon Ashton
15%
Draws
24%
Ilkeston
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Ilkeston haven't matched Curzon Ashton's recent run of results.
  • 61% — that's where the model lands on Curzon Ashton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 20%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton Ilkeston
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.62 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 10, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Curzon Ashton vs Ilkeston
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 FA Trophy
Ilkeston vs Curzon Ashton
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Spencer J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Ilkeston Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton 85 / 100
Ilkeston 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton Ilkeston

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Curzon Ashton found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Curzon Ashton has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ilkeston's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Difficult form: Ilkeston registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curzon Ashton VS Ilkeston
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Curzon Ashton

(Home)
10 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0
Ilkeston
07 Nov
Stockton
0 : 1
Curzon Ashton
03 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0
United of Manchester
31 Oct
Curzon Ashton
2 : 1
Leek Town
27 Oct
Gainsborough
0 : 3
Curzon Ashton
Page 1 of 6

Ilkeston

(Away)
10 Nov
Curzon Ashton
1 : 0
Ilkeston
07 Nov
Leek Town
3 : 2
Ilkeston
31 Oct
Ilkeston
1 : 0
Hyde
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0
Avro
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 18 11 5 2 41:19 38
2 Curzon Ashton 18 12 1 5 32:18 37
3 Cleethorpes 17 11 3 3 34:10 36
4 Guiseley 16 10 3 3 34:16 33
5 Avro 18 10 2 6 42:34 32
6 Warrington Rylands 17 9 3 5 31:24 30
7 Workington 18 9 3 6 31:27 30
8 Bury FC 16 9 2 5 32:18 29
9 Gainsborough 17 9 2 6 33:24 29
10 Warrington Town 17 8 5 4 31:24 29
11 Alfreton 18 7 2 9 23:25 23
12 AFC Emley 18 6 5 7 21:29 23
13 Quorn 17 5 6 6 33:35 21
14 Lancaster 18 6 3 9 20:31 21
15 Whitby 18 6 1 11 24:47 19
16 Stockton 18 5 3 10 26:31 18
17 Hyde 17 5 3 9 19:32 18
18 Ashton United 17 4 5 8 19:21 17
19 Leek Town 17 4 5 8 34:39 17
20 Ilkeston 18 4 1 13 13:38 13
21 United of Manchester 16 2 6 8 20:27 12
22 Bamber Bridge 18 2 5 11 18:42 11
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