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Curzon Ashton vs Redcar Athletic - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division Tameside Stadium, Ashton-under-Lyne
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Match Events

2' Event
Curran A.
10' Event
Holmes B.
37' Event
Curran A.

AI Match Summary

The NPL Premier Division game between Curzon Ashton and Redcar Athletic finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Curzon Ashton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Curzon Ashton
15%
Draws
31%
Redcar Athletic
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Curzon Ashton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Curzon Ashton haven't matched Redcar Athletic's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Curzon Ashton's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Curzon Ashton Clean Sheet 20%
Redcar Athletic Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Curzon Ashton Redcar Athletic
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 4
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.82 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Curzon Ashton vs Redcar Athletic
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Curzon Ashton Compare

Top Goalscorer Curran A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Holmes B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Redcar Athletic Compare

Top Goalscorer Rowe D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Curzon Ashton 58 / 100
Redcar Athletic 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Curzon Ashton Redcar Athletic

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Curzon Ashton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Curzon Ashton's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Redcar Athletic has conceded goals in 62% of their last 21 outings.

Curzon Ashton went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Curzon Ashton VS Redcar Athletic
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Curzon Ashton

(Home)
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
26 Sept
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Stalybridge
12 Sept
Lancaster
0 : 2
Curzon Ashton
05 Sept
Curzon Ashton
1 : 2
Bradford PA
31 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 0
Ashton United
Page 1 of 6

Redcar Athletic

(Away)
06 Oct
Curzon Ashton
3 : 1
Redcar Athletic
03 Oct
Redcar Athletic
3 : 1
Alfreton
26 Sept
FC Guisborough Town
0 : 1
Redcar Athletic
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
19 Sept
Redcar Athletic
1 : 2
Macclesfield
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 12 8 3 1 27:7 27
2 Avro 10 8 1 1 33:19 25
3 Redcar Athletic 12 7 4 1 23:11 25
4 Guiseley 11 7 1 3 24:11 22
5 Workington 12 6 3 3 23:19 21
6 Warrington Rylands 12 6 2 4 20:17 20
7 Curzon Ashton 10 6 1 3 21:11 19
8 Alfreton 12 6 0 6 18:13 18
9 Warrington Town 10 5 3 2 20:16 18
10 Bury FC 10 5 1 4 19:9 16
11 Gainsborough 10 5 1 4 20:14 16
12 Lancaster 12 5 1 6 16:24 16
13 Hyde 12 4 2 6 13:21 14
14 Ashton United 10 3 3 4 12:11 12
15 Whitby 11 4 0 7 17:32 12
16 Stockton 12 3 2 7 15:22 11
17 Leek Town 11 2 4 5 22:23 10
18 Quorn 11 2 4 5 18:27 10
19 AFC Emley 11 2 4 5 10:22 10
20 Bamber Bridge 11 2 3 6 16:31 9
21 Ilkeston 12 2 1 9 7:26 7
22 United of Manchester 10 1 2 7 12:20 5
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