Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs A. Lima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
11:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cusco host A. Lima in the Liga 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. A. Lima have shipped 0.87 goals a game lately, while Cusco have conceded 1.58 and scored 1.39. Past meetings favor Cusco slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 19, 2026, ending 8:0. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 1.38) point toward A. Lima. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cusco
15%
Draws
26%
A. Lima
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cusco

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • A. Lima carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cusco Clean Sheet 68%
A. Lima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco A. Lima
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 4 8
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.58 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cusco
8:0
Jul 19, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs A. Lima
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cusco
3:0
Nov 3, 2024 Liga 1
A. Lima vs Cusco
1:2
May 24, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs A. Lima
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 41 / 100
A. Lima 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco A. Lima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cusco Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Cusco found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: A. Lima conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Solid form: Cusco remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS A. Lima
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cusco

(Home)
19 Sept
FC Cajamarca
1 : 2
Cusco
12 Sept
Cusco
0 : 1
FBC Melgar
05 Sept
Cusco
2 : 0
Moquegua
31 Aug
Cienciano
1 : 2
Cusco
23 Aug
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 1
Cusco
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A. Lima

(Away)
01 Oct
A. Lima
1 : 2
Palestino
19 Sept
A. Lima
2 : 0
AD Tarma
13 Sept
A. Lima
1 : 2
Universitario de Deportes
06 Sept
Juan Pablo II
1 : 1
A. Lima
30 Aug
A. Lima
0 : 1
Deportivo Garcilaso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Garcilaso 10 7 1 2 18:6 22
2 Universitario de Deportes 10 6 2 2 19:16 20
3 Sporting Cristal 10 6 1 3 20:10 19
4 Alianza Atl. 10 6 1 3 20:17 19
5 Sport Huancayo 10 6 1 3 16:13 19
6 Juan Pablo II 10 5 3 2 20:12 18
7 FBC Melgar 10 5 3 2 16:9 18
8 Sport Boys 10 5 3 2 14:7 18
9 Cusco 10 6 0 4 19:14 18
10 A. Lima 10 4 4 2 14:10 16
11 Atletico Grau 10 5 1 4 14:13 16
12 FC Cajamarca 10 3 1 6 18:24 10
13 Comerciantes Unidos 10 2 3 5 17:18 9
14 Cienciano 10 2 2 6 12:18 8
15 Los Chankas 10 2 2 6 11:24 8
16 Moquegua 10 1 4 5 7:17 7
17 AD Tarma 10 1 2 7 7:21 5
18 Cajamarca 10 0 2 8 11:24 2
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)