Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Olivares J.
12'
Sen M.
16' Event
Callejo F.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Cusco in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cusco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Cusco
39%
Draws
31%
Comerciantes Unidos
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Cusco have won more games recently than Comerciantes Unidos.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cusco have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Cusco Clean Sheet 68%
Comerciantes Unidos Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cusco Comerciantes Unidos
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 10 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 1.13 0.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2026 Liga 1
Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos
3:1
Oct 12, 2025 Liga 1
Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos
1:1
May 24, 2025 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco
1:2
Sep 14, 2024 Liga 1
Cusco vs Comerciantes Unidos
2:1
Apr 8, 2024 Liga 1
Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cusco Compare

Top Goalscorer Callejo F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Colman I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Comerciantes Unidos Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivares J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cusco 41 / 100
Comerciantes Unidos 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cusco Comerciantes Unidos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CUS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cusco's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Comerciantes Unidos has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Comerciantes Unidos's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cusco VS Comerciantes Unidos
1.13 Goals Scored 0.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016